← Allsvenskan 2022

Malmo FF

Season 2022 · 30 matches played

Last 5LLLWD

Points

Points expected by the market

56.06

Gap

−10.06

Yield

−30.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	7	16	16.45	−0.45	−7.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	17	26	32.59	−6.59	−30.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	4	5.17	−1.17	−35.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.85	−1.85	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	5	13	12.11	+0.89	+0.4%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	15	19.26	−4.26	−36.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	0	—	—	—	—
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	3	4.33	−1.33	−25.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	11	13.33	−2.33	−22.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	4	5.17	−1.17	−35.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.85	−1.85	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Kalmar · Away3 Apr 2022	3 Apr 2022	W 1-0	1.86	1.79	3	+1.21	+1.21	+€0.86
M2	Elfsborg · Home11 Apr 2022	11 Apr 2022	D 1-1	1.57	2.03	1	−1.03	+0.18	−€1.00
M3	AIK · Home17 Apr 2022	17 Apr 2022	W 3-0	1.72	1.92	3	+1.08	+1.26	+€0.72
M4	Varnamo · Away21 Apr 2022	21 Apr 2022	D 0-0	1.61	2.00	1	−1.00	+0.25	−€1.00
M5	Goteborg · Home25 Apr 2022	25 Apr 2022	W 1-0	1.58	2.04	3	+0.96	+1.21	+€0.58
M6	Hammarby · Away2 May 2022	2 May 2022	D 0-0	3.15	1.18	1	−0.18	+1.03	−€1.00
M7	Mjallby · Home7 May 2022	7 May 2022	W 2-0	1.54	2.09	3	+0.91	+1.95	+€0.54
M8	AIK · Away11 May 2022	11 May 2022	L 0-2	3.21	1.19	0	−1.19	+0.76	−€1.00
M9	Djurgarden · Away16 May 2022	16 May 2022	L 0-4	4.35	0.91	0	−0.91	−0.15	−€1.00
M10	Hacken · Home22 May 2022	22 May 2022	L 1-2	1.78	1.84	0	−1.84	−1.99	−€1.00
M11	Degerfors · Away29 May 2022	29 May 2022	W 2-0	1.49	2.11	3	+0.89	−1.10	+€0.49
M12	Helsingborg · Home27 Jun 2022	27 Jun 2022	W 2-1	1.25	2.42	3	+0.58	−0.52	+€0.25
M13	Sundsvall · Away1 Jul 2022	1 Jul 2022	L 1-2	1.39	2.23	0	−2.23	−2.75	−€1.00
M14	Varberg · Home9 Jul 2022	9 Jul 2022	W 3-0	1.26	2.41	3	+0.59	−2.15	+€0.26
M15	Norrkoping · Away16 Jul 2022	16 Jul 2022	W 2-0	2.00	1.68	3	+1.32	−0.84	+€1.00
M16	Sirius · Home23 Jul 2022	23 Jul 2022	W 3-1	1.41	2.20	3	+0.80	−0.04	+€0.41
M17	Sirius · Away7 Aug 2022	7 Aug 2022	L 1-2	1.54	2.06	0	−2.06	−2.10	−€1.00
M18	Sundsvall · Home14 Aug 2022	14 Aug 2022	W 3-1	1.10	2.67	3	+0.33	−1.77	+€0.10
M19	Mjallby · Away21 Aug 2022	21 Aug 2022	D 1-1	1.68	1.94	1	−0.94	−2.71	−€1.00
M20	Kalmar · Home28 Aug 2022	28 Aug 2022	L 0-1	1.62	1.99	0	−1.99	−4.71	−€1.00
M21	Elfsborg · Away4 Sep 2022	4 Sep 2022	L 2-3	2.39	1.44	0	−1.44	−6.15	−€1.00
M22	Norrkoping · Home11 Sep 2022	11 Sep 2022	W 2-1	1.54	2.06	3	+0.94	−5.21	+€0.54
M23	Helsingborg · Away18 Sep 2022	18 Sep 2022	W 2-1	1.59	2.02	3	+0.98	−4.23	+€0.59
M24	Hammarby · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	D 0-0	2.10	1.62	1	−0.62	−4.85	−€1.00
M25	Varnamo · Home9 Oct 2022	9 Oct 2022	D 0-0	1.26	2.40	1	−1.40	−6.25	−€1.00
M26	Goteborg · Away17 Oct 2022	17 Oct 2022	L 1-2	1.79	1.83	0	−1.83	−8.08	−€1.00
M27	Djurgarden · Home20 Oct 2022	20 Oct 2022	L 2-3	1.95	1.72	0	−1.72	−9.81	−€1.00
M28	Hacken · Away23 Oct 2022	23 Oct 2022	L 1-2	4.00	0.94	0	−0.94	−10.75	−€1.00
M29	Varberg · Away30 Oct 2022	30 Oct 2022	W 5-2	2.60	1.36	3	+1.64	−9.11	+€1.60
M30	Degerfors · Home6 Nov 2022	6 Nov 2022	D 2-2	1.64	1.95	1	−0.95	−10.06	−€1.00
Total					56.06	46	−10.06		−€9.06