← Allsvenskan 2022

Varberg

Season 2022 · 32 matches played

Last 5LLWWW

Points

Points expected by the market

34.67

Gap

+2.33

Yield

−7.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	6	5.19	+0.81	+28.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	21	19.34	+1.66	+11.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	10	10.14	−0.14	−37.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	6	5.19	+0.81	+28.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	9	11.87	−2.87	−42.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	5	3.27	+1.73	+10.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	12	7.47	+4.53	+94.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	5	6.87	−1.87	−56.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Norrkoping · Away3 Apr 2022	3 Apr 2022	W 1-0	4.39	0.92	3	+2.08	+2.08	+€3.39
M2	Kalmar · Home10 Apr 2022	10 Apr 2022	L 0-3	2.76	1.35	0	−1.35	+0.74	−€1.00
M3	Sundsvall · Home16 Apr 2022	16 Apr 2022	W 2-0	1.91	1.76	3	+1.24	+1.98	+€0.91
M4	AIK · Away20 Apr 2022	20 Apr 2022	L 0-1	6.94	0.66	0	−0.66	+1.32	−€1.00
M5	Mjallby · Home24 Apr 2022	24 Apr 2022	D 0-0	2.49	1.47	1	−0.47	+0.85	−€1.00
M6	Hacken · Away1 May 2022	1 May 2022	L 1-3	6.33	0.68	0	−0.68	+0.18	−€1.00
M7	Sirius · Home8 May 2022	8 May 2022	L 0-2	2.01	1.70	0	−1.70	−1.53	−€1.00
M8	Goteborg · Away15 May 2022	15 May 2022	D 1-1	4.00	1.00	1	0.00	−1.53	−€1.00
M9	Degerfors · Home22 May 2022	22 May 2022	W 2-1	1.94	1.73	3	+1.27	−0.25	+€0.94
M10	Djurgarden · Away29 May 2022	29 May 2022	L 0-4	8.60	0.53	0	−0.53	−0.78	−€1.00
M11	Elfsborg · Away27 Jun 2022	27 Jun 2022	L 1-4	8.11	0.53	0	−0.53	−1.32	−€1.00
M12	Varnamo · Home3 Jul 2022	3 Jul 2022	W 3-0	2.90	1.27	3	+1.73	+0.42	+€1.90
M13	Malmo FF · Away9 Jul 2022	9 Jul 2022	L 0-3	10.41	0.43	0	−0.43	−0.02	−€1.00
M14	Helsingborg · Home18 Jul 2022	18 Jul 2022	D 0-0	2.31	1.51	1	−0.51	−0.53	−€1.00
M15	Hammarby · Home25 Jul 2022	25 Jul 2022	L 0-3	6.87	0.62	0	−0.62	−1.15	−€1.00
M16	Sundsvall · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	W 3-1	2.69	1.32	3	+1.68	+0.53	+€1.69
M17	Goteborg · Home8 Aug 2022	8 Aug 2022	L 0-4	3.13	1.19	0	−1.19	−0.66	−€1.00
M18	Degerfors · Away14 Aug 2022	14 Aug 2022	D 1-1	3.73	1.02	1	−0.02	−0.68	−€1.00
M19	Djurgarden · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 2-2	5.15	0.81	1	+0.19	−0.49	−€1.00
M20	Norrkoping · Home28 Aug 2022	28 Aug 2022	D 1-1	3.37	1.12	1	−0.12	−0.61	−€1.00
M21	Kalmar · Away5 Sep 2022	5 Sep 2022	L 0-1	6.10	0.71	0	−0.71	−1.31	−€1.00
M22	AIK · Home11 Sep 2022	11 Sep 2022	W 2-0	4.43	0.90	3	+2.10	+0.79	+€3.43
M23	Varnamo · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 0-1	3.01	1.22	0	−1.22	−0.43	−€1.00
M24	Hacken · Home2 Oct 2022	2 Oct 2022	D 1-1	4.13	0.94	1	+0.06	−0.37	−€1.00
M25	Hammarby · Away10 Oct 2022	10 Oct 2022	L 1-5	11.46	0.40	0	−0.40	−0.77	−€1.00
M26	Helsingborg · Away15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	W 3-1	3.18	1.17	3	+1.83	+1.06	+€2.18
M27	Elfsborg · Home19 Oct 2022	19 Oct 2022	L 0-3	3.45	1.08	0	−1.08	−0.02	−€1.00
M28	Mjallby · Away24 Oct 2022	24 Oct 2022	L 1-4	3.09	1.20	0	−1.20	−1.22	−€1.00
M29	Malmo FF · Home30 Oct 2022	30 Oct 2022	L 2-5	2.61	1.36	0	−1.36	−2.58	−€1.00
M30	Sirius · Away6 Nov 2022	6 Nov 2022	W 3-2	2.52	1.37	3	+1.63	−0.95	+€1.52
M31	Oster · Away10 Nov 2022	10 Nov 2022	W 2-1	3.25	1.18	3	+1.82	+0.86	+€2.25
M32	Oster · Home13 Nov 2022	13 Nov 2022	W 2-1	2.25	1.53	3	+1.47	+2.33	+€1.25
Total					34.67	37	+2.33		−€2.54