← Allsvenskan 2023

Varnamo

Season 2023 · 30 matches played

Last 5WWWDL

Points

45

Points expected by the market

35.17

Gap

+9.83

Yield

+55.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 7 8.88 −1.88 −24.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 13 23 16.67 +6.33 +60.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 15 9.62 +5.38 +84.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Goteborg · Away2 Apr 2023 2 Apr 2023 W 1-0 3.70 1.03 3 +1.97 +1.97 +€2.70
M2 Mjallby · Home10 Apr 2023 10 Apr 2023 L 0-1 2.83 1.29 0 −1.29 +0.67 −€1.00
M3 Norrkoping · Away16 Apr 2023 16 Apr 2023 L 1-2 4.80 0.84 0 −0.84 −0.17 −€1.00
M4 AIK · Home24 Apr 2023 24 Apr 2023 W 1-0 4.09 0.98 3 +2.02 +1.85 +€3.09
M5 Hacken · Away29 Apr 2023 29 Apr 2023 L 1-3 9.85 0.45 0 −0.45 +1.40 −€1.00
M6 Brommapojkarna · Home4 May 2023 4 May 2023 L 0-1 1.97 1.72 0 −1.72 −0.32 −€1.00
M7 Varberg · Home9 May 2023 9 May 2023 W 3-1 1.76 1.89 3 +1.11 +0.80 +€0.76
M8 Elfsborg · Away14 May 2023 14 May 2023 L 0-2 5.98 0.69 0 −0.69 +0.11 −€1.00
M9 Kalmar · Home22 May 2023 22 May 2023 L 0-1 2.74 1.34 0 −1.34 −1.23 −€1.00
M10 Hammarby · Away29 May 2023 29 May 2023 W 2-0 4.77 0.83 3 +2.17 +0.94 +€3.77
M11 Sirius · Away4 Jun 2023 4 Jun 2023 L 0-2 3.83 1.00 0 −1.00 −0.06 −€1.00
M12 Malmo FF · Home10 Jun 2023 10 Jun 2023 L 1-3 5.28 0.78 0 −0.78 −0.84 −€1.00
M13 Degerfors · Away1 Jul 2023 1 Jul 2023 W 2-0 2.71 1.32 3 +1.68 +0.83 +€1.71
M14 Djurgarden · Home8 Jul 2023 8 Jul 2023 L 1-2 3.33 1.14 0 −1.14 −0.30 −€1.00
M15 Halmstad · Away15 Jul 2023 15 Jul 2023 D 2-2 2.89 1.28 1 −0.28 −0.58 −€1.00
M16 Hacken · Home22 Jul 2023 22 Jul 2023 W 1-0 4.47 0.86 3 +2.14 +1.56 +€3.47
M17 Malmo FF · Away31 Jul 2023 31 Jul 2023 L 1-3 9.28 0.48 0 −0.48 +1.07 −€1.00
M18 Brommapojkarna · Away5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 W 2-0 3.12 1.18 3 +1.82 +2.90 +€2.12
M19 Degerfors · Home14 Aug 2023 14 Aug 2023 L 0-1 1.77 1.85 0 −1.85 +1.05 −€1.00
M20 Varberg · Away19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 W 3-0 2.36 1.49 3 +1.51 +2.56 +€1.36
M21 Halmstad · Home27 Aug 2023 27 Aug 2023 D 0-0 1.91 1.76 1 −0.76 +1.80 −€1.00
M22 Elfsborg · Home2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 W 1-0 3.25 1.14 3 +1.86 +3.66 +€2.25
M23 Djurgarden · Away16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 W 2-1 5.11 0.80 3 +2.20 +5.86 +€4.11
M24 Sirius · Home25 Sep 2023 25 Sep 2023 L 0-1 2.46 1.42 0 −1.42 +4.45 −€1.00
M25 Mjallby · Away1 Oct 2023 1 Oct 2023 W 3-2 2.99 1.25 3 +1.75 +6.20 +€1.99
M26 Norrkoping · Home8 Oct 2023 8 Oct 2023 W 2-1 2.01 1.68 3 +1.32 +7.52 +€1.01
M27 Goteborg · Home23 Oct 2023 23 Oct 2023 W 3-1 3.15 1.19 3 +1.81 +9.33 +€2.15
M28 Kalmar · Away29 Oct 2023 29 Oct 2023 W 3-1 3.29 1.13 3 +1.87 +11.19 +€2.29
M29 Hammarby · Home4 Nov 2023 4 Nov 2023 D 0-0 2.30 1.50 1 −0.50 +10.70 −€1.00
M30 AIK · Away12 Nov 2023 12 Nov 2023 L 1-3 4.53 0.87 0 −0.87 +9.83 −€1.00
Total 35.17 45 +9.83 +€16.78