← Allsvenskan 2024

Varnamo

Season 2024 · 32 matches played

Last 5LWDDW

Points

35

Points expected by the market

38.78

Gap

−3.78

Yield

−14.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 5 8.86 −3.86 −68.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 16 20.31 −4.31 −30.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 14 9.61 +4.39 +28.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Elfsborg · Away1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 D 2-2 6.24 0.67 1 +0.33 +0.33 −€1.00
M2 GAIS · Home8 Apr 2024 8 Apr 2024 L 1-2 2.59 1.37 0 −1.37 −1.03 −€1.00
M3 Malmo FF · Home15 Apr 2024 15 Apr 2024 L 0-4 9.26 0.48 0 −0.48 −1.52 −€1.00
M4 Sirius · Away20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 W 1-0 5.28 0.76 3 +2.24 +0.72 +€4.28
M5 AIK · Away24 Apr 2024 24 Apr 2024 L 0-2 6.31 0.69 0 −0.69 +0.04 −€1.00
M6 Halmstad · Home28 Apr 2024 28 Apr 2024 L 1-3 2.21 1.57 0 −1.57 −1.54 −€1.00
M7 Hammarby · Away5 May 2024 5 May 2024 W 2-1 6.56 0.65 3 +2.35 +0.81 +€5.56
M8 Brommapojkarna · Home12 May 2024 12 May 2024 D 1-1 3.16 1.17 1 −0.17 +0.65 −€1.00
M9 Vasteras SK · Away15 May 2024 15 May 2024 W 2-0 3.61 1.04 3 +1.96 +2.60 +€2.61
M10 Kalmar · Home19 May 2024 19 May 2024 L 0-2 2.14 1.60 0 −1.60 +1.00 −€1.00
M11 Norrkoping · Away27 May 2024 27 May 2024 W 4-0 3.40 1.09 3 +1.91 +2.92 +€2.40
M12 Mjallby · Home2 Jun 2024 2 Jun 2024 L 1-2 2.65 1.36 0 −1.36 +1.55 −€1.00
M13 Goteborg · Home7 Jul 2024 7 Jul 2024 W 2-0 2.50 1.40 3 +1.60 +3.15 +€1.50
M14 Djurgarden · Away14 Jul 2024 14 Jul 2024 L 0-1 6.03 0.68 0 −0.68 +2.47 −€1.00
M15 Hacken · Home20 Jul 2024 20 Jul 2024 D 2-2 2.82 1.26 1 −0.26 +2.22 −€1.00
M16 Halmstad · Away27 Jul 2024 27 Jul 2024 L 0-1 2.23 1.56 0 −1.56 +0.65 −€1.00
M17 Sirius · Home4 Aug 2024 4 Aug 2024 L 2-4 2.34 1.48 0 −1.48 −0.83 −€1.00
M18 Goteborg · Away10 Aug 2024 10 Aug 2024 D 0-0 3.57 1.06 1 −0.06 −0.89 −€1.00
M19 Hammarby · Home17 Aug 2024 17 Aug 2024 L 0-3 2.76 1.30 0 −1.30 −2.19 −€1.00
M20 Hacken · Away25 Aug 2024 25 Aug 2024 D 1-1 4.30 0.89 1 +0.11 −2.08 −€1.00
M21 AIK · Home31 Aug 2024 31 Aug 2024 L 0-1 3.80 1.03 0 −1.03 −3.11 −€1.00
M22 Kalmar · Away15 Sep 2024 15 Sep 2024 L 1-3 2.65 1.36 0 −1.36 −4.46 −€1.00
M23 Vasteras SK · Home22 Sep 2024 22 Sep 2024 W 2-0 2.32 1.49 3 +1.51 −2.96 +€1.32
M24 Mjallby · Away25 Sep 2024 25 Sep 2024 D 1-1 3.51 1.09 1 −0.09 −3.05 −€1.00
M25 Djurgarden · Home29 Sep 2024 29 Sep 2024 D 1-1 3.18 1.17 1 −0.17 −3.22 −€1.00
M26 Malmo FF · Away6 Oct 2024 6 Oct 2024 D 1-1 7.48 0.57 1 +0.43 −2.79 −€1.00
M27 GAIS · Away20 Oct 2024 20 Oct 2024 D 0-0 3.13 1.18 1 −0.18 −2.97 −€1.00
M28 Norrkoping · Home27 Oct 2024 27 Oct 2024 L 1-2 2.01 1.71 0 −1.71 −4.68 −€1.00
M29 Brommapojkarna · Away3 Nov 2024 3 Nov 2024 W 1-0 2.21 1.54 3 +1.46 −3.22 +€1.21
M30 Elfsborg · Home10 Nov 2024 10 Nov 2024 D 0-0 1.87 1.77 1 −0.77 −3.99 −€1.00
M31 Landskrona · Away21 Nov 2024 21 Nov 2024 D 2-2 1.95 1.75 1 −0.75 −4.74 −€1.00
M32 Landskrona · Home24 Nov 2024 24 Nov 2024 W 1-0 1.58 2.04 3 +0.96 −3.78 +€0.58
Total 38.78 35 −3.78 −€4.54