← Bundesliga 2020-21

Admira

Season 2020-21 · 32 matches played

Last 5DWDLD

Points

Points expected by the market

31.37

Gap

−5.37

Yield

−1.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.59	−1.59	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	18	19.87	−1.87	−14.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	15	8	9.91	−1.91	+18.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.59	−1.59	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	10	12.33	−2.33	−18.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	5	2.91	+2.09	+256.6%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	6	8	7.54	+0.46	−7.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	3	7.01	−4.01	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	SK Rapid · Away11 Sep 2020	11 Sep 2020	L 1-4	7.22	0.58	0	−0.58	−0.58	−€1.00
M2	St. Polten · Home20 Sep 2020	20 Sep 2020	L 0-5	3.10	1.18	0	−1.18	−1.76	−€1.00
M3	Austria Vienna · Away27 Sep 2020	27 Sep 2020	D 2-2	6.31	0.65	1	+0.35	−1.41	−€1.00
M4	Ried · Home3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	W 3-1	3.08	1.17	3	+1.83	+0.41	+€2.08
M5	Altach · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	L 2-4	3.99	0.95	0	−0.95	−0.54	−€1.00
M6	Wolfsberger AC · Home1 Nov 2020	1 Nov 2020	L 1-3	3.34	1.10	0	−1.10	−1.63	−€1.00
M7	LASK · Away8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	L 0-4	13.07	0.35	0	−0.35	−1.98	−€1.00
M8	Tirol · Away22 Nov 2020	22 Nov 2020	L 0-3	4.51	0.86	0	−0.86	−2.84	−€1.00
M9	Hartberg · Home28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	L 2-3	2.76	1.28	0	−1.28	−4.12	−€1.00
M10	Salzburg · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 1-0	17.83	0.26	3	+2.74	−1.38	+€16.83
M11	Sturm Graz · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 0-3	7.15	0.60	0	−0.60	−1.98	−€1.00
M12	SK Rapid · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 0-1	6.23	0.64	0	−0.64	−2.62	−€1.00
M13	St. Polten · Away23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	D 2-2	3.84	0.99	1	+0.01	−2.62	−€1.00
M14	Austria Vienna · Home26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	L 0-4	3.40	1.09	0	−1.09	−3.71	−€1.00
M15	Ried · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	D 0-0	3.46	1.07	1	−0.07	−3.78	−€1.00
M16	Altach · Home10 Feb 2021	10 Feb 2021	W 3-1	2.70	1.33	3	+1.67	−2.11	+€1.70
M17	Wolfsberger AC · Away13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	L 1-2	4.89	0.82	0	−0.82	−2.93	−€1.00
M18	LASK · Home21 Feb 2021	21 Feb 2021	L 1-2	8.77	0.49	0	−0.49	−3.42	−€1.00
M19	Tirol · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	D 1-1	3.23	1.13	1	−0.13	−3.56	−€1.00
M20	Hartberg · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	L 1-2	3.08	1.19	0	−1.19	−4.74	−€1.00
M21	Salzburg · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	L 1-3	24.61	0.20	0	−0.20	−4.94	−€1.00
M22	Sturm Graz · Home21 Mar 2021	21 Mar 2021	D 0-0	4.49	0.88	1	+0.12	−4.82	−€1.00
M23	St. Polten · Away3 Apr 2021	3 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.60	1.36	3	+1.64	−3.18	+€1.60
M24	Ried · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	L 0-2	2.16	1.59	0	−1.59	−4.77	−€1.00
M25	Hartberg · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.58	1.37	0	−1.37	−6.13	−€1.00
M26	Altach · Away20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.95	1.25	3	+1.75	−4.39	+€1.95
M27	Austria Vienna · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	L 0-2	3.09	1.18	0	−1.18	−5.57	−€1.00
M28	Austria Vienna · Away27 Apr 2021	27 Apr 2021	D 0-0	3.81	1.00	1	0.00	−5.57	−€1.00
M29	St. Polten · Home8 May 2021	8 May 2021	W 2-0	2.35	1.49	3	+1.51	−4.07	+€1.35
M30	Ried · Away11 May 2021	11 May 2021	D 0-0	2.53	1.41	1	−0.41	−4.48	−€1.00
M31	Hartberg · Away15 May 2021	15 May 2021	L 0-2	2.89	1.26	0	−1.26	−5.74	−€1.00
M32	Altach · Home21 May 2021	21 May 2021	D 1-1	6.55	0.63	1	+0.37	−5.37	−€1.00
Total					31.37	26	−5.37		−€0.49