← Bundesliga 2020-21

Sturm Graz

Season 2020-21 · 32 matches played

Last 5DLWWW

Points

56

Points expected by the market

44.56

Gap

+11.44

Yield

+41.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 3 2.20 +0.80 +41.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 14 35 24.74 +10.26 +47.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 9 11.90 −2.90 −28.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 8 9 5.74 +3.26 +108.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 St. Polten · Away13 Sep 2020 13 Sep 2020 D 0-0 2.22 1.53 1 −0.53 −0.53 −€1.00
M2 SK Rapid · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 D 1-1 4.31 0.89 1 +0.11 −0.42 −€1.00
M3 Hartberg · Away27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 D 1-1 2.10 1.59 1 −0.59 −1.01 −€1.00
M4 Altach · Home4 Oct 2020 4 Oct 2020 W 4-0 1.91 1.73 3 +1.27 +0.26 +€0.91
M5 Ried · Away24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 W 2-0 2.00 1.66 3 +1.34 +1.60 +€1.00
M6 LASK · Home1 Nov 2020 1 Nov 2020 L 0-2 3.29 1.12 0 −1.12 +0.49 −€1.00
M7 Salzburg · Away21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 W 3-1 9.76 0.44 3 +2.56 +3.05 +€8.76
M8 Tirol · Home28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 W 1-0 1.79 1.82 3 +1.18 +4.23 +€0.79
M9 Austria Vienna · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 W 4-0 2.09 1.62 3 +1.38 +5.61 +€1.09
M10 Admira · Home12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 W 3-0 1.41 2.20 3 +0.80 +6.41 +€0.41
M11 St. Polten · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 W 3-0 1.52 2.06 3 +0.94 +7.35 +€0.52
M12 Wolfsberger AC · Away17 Jan 2021 17 Jan 2021 D 0-0 2.61 1.36 1 −0.36 +6.99 −€1.00
M13 SK Rapid · Away22 Jan 2021 22 Jan 2021 L 1-4 3.44 1.08 0 −1.08 +5.91 −€1.00
M14 Hartberg · Home26 Jan 2021 26 Jan 2021 W 2-1 1.64 1.95 3 +1.05 +6.96 +€0.64
M15 Altach · Away30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 L 1-2 1.73 1.88 0 −1.88 +5.08 −€1.00
M16 Ried · Home9 Feb 2021 9 Feb 2021 W 2-1 1.61 1.98 3 +1.02 +6.10 +€0.61
M17 LASK · Away14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 L 0-2 5.09 0.77 0 −0.77 +5.32 −€1.00
M18 Wolfsberger AC · Home21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 L 1-2 2.23 1.55 0 −1.55 +3.77 −€1.00
M19 Salzburg · Home28 Feb 2021 28 Feb 2021 W 2-1 6.95 0.60 3 +2.40 +6.17 +€5.95
M20 Tirol · Away6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 D 1-1 2.25 1.52 1 −0.52 +5.65 −€1.00
M21 Austria Vienna · Home14 Mar 2021 14 Mar 2021 W 2-1 2.01 1.67 3 +1.33 +6.98 +€1.01
M22 Admira · Away21 Mar 2021 21 Mar 2021 D 0-0 1.75 1.86 1 −0.86 +6.12 −€1.00
M23 Salzburg · Away4 Apr 2021 4 Apr 2021 L 1-3 10.58 0.42 0 −0.42 +5.70 −€1.00
M24 Tirol · Home11 Apr 2021 11 Apr 2021 W 3-2 1.98 1.69 3 +1.31 +7.02 +€0.98
M25 SK Rapid · Away18 Apr 2021 18 Apr 2021 D 0-0 3.61 1.02 1 −0.02 +7.00 −€1.00
M26 Wolfsberger AC · Home21 Apr 2021 21 Apr 2021 L 0-1 2.35 1.47 0 −1.47 +5.53 −€1.00
M27 LASK · Home25 Apr 2021 25 Apr 2021 W 3-1 3.46 1.08 3 +1.92 +7.45 +€2.46
M28 LASK · Away28 Apr 2021 28 Apr 2021 D 0-0 3.62 1.05 1 −0.05 +7.39 −€1.00
M29 Salzburg · Home9 May 2021 9 May 2021 L 1-3 7.71 0.54 0 −0.54 +6.85 −€1.00
M30 Tirol · Away12 May 2021 12 May 2021 W 3-2 2.19 1.55 3 +1.45 +8.30 +€1.19
M31 SK Rapid · Home16 May 2021 16 May 2021 W 4-1 3.02 1.19 3 +1.81 +10.11 +€2.02
M32 Wolfsberger AC · Away22 May 2021 22 May 2021 W 3-1 1.97 1.68 3 +1.32 +11.44 +€0.97
Total 44.56 56 +11.44 +€13.31