Points
54Points expected by the market
50.77Gap
+3.23Yield
+4.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 42 | +6.58 | +21.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.35 | −52.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.13 | +8.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.87 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.01 | −7.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.76 | −34.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 25 | +6.57 | +45.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.59 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.17 | +44.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hartberg · Away3 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +1.38 |
| M2 | Altach · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −0.58 |
| M3 | Salzburg · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.62 |
| M4 | Austria Vienna · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.86 |
| M5 | Wolfsberger AC · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.70 | −4.56 |
| M6 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −6.24 |
| M7 | Grazer AK · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.15 | −5.09 |
| M8 | SK Rapid · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −5.09 |
| M9 | Austria Klagenfurt · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −4.05 |
| M10 | Tirol · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.69 |
| M11 | Sturm Graz · Home27 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.01 |
| M12 | Hartberg · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −4.80 |
| M13 | Altach · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.44 |
| M14 | Salzburg · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | −1.33 |
| M15 | Austria Vienna · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.86 |
| M16 | Wolfsberger AC · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.21 |
| M17 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.74 |
| M18 | Grazer AK · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −5.38 |
| M19 | SK Rapid · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −3.52 |
| M20 | Austria Klagenfurt · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −2.28 |
| M21 | Tirol · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | −1.41 |
| M22 | Sturm Graz · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.35 |
| M23 | Altach · Away28 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.95 |
| M24 | Grazer AK · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.17 |
| M25 | Hartberg · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.58 |
| M26 | Tirol · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +2.61 |
| M27 | Austria Klagenfurt · Away22 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.82 |
| M28 | Austria Klagenfurt · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.82 |
| M29 | Tirol · Away3 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +5.98 |
| M30 | Hartberg · Home10 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +5.12 |
| M31 | Grazer AK · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +3.47 |
| M32 | Altach · Home23 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +3.23 |
| Total | 54 | +3.23 | |||