Points
42Points expected by the market
42.52Gap
−0.52Yield
−22.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.76 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 28 | −0.60 | −13.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.76 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 18 | +4.44 | +30.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −5.04 | −50.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wolfsberger AC · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.90 |
| M2 | Ried · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.29 |
| M3 | SK Rapid · Away17 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | +3.35 |
| M4 | Grazer AK · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +2.57 |
| M5 | Austria Vienna · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.62 |
| M6 | LASK · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.10 |
| M7 | Tirol · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +2.42 |
| M8 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +0.93 |
| M9 | Sturm Graz · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.30 |
| M10 | Salzburg · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.16 |
| M11 | Hartberg · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.79 |
| M12 | Grazer AK · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.35 |
| M13 | LASK · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.28 |
| M14 | Wolfsberger AC · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.51 |
| M15 | Salzburg · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.69 |
| M16 | Tirol · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.07 |
| M17 | Ried · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.29 |
| M18 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.08 |
| M19 | Hartberg · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.16 |
| M20 | Austria Vienna · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.55 |
| M21 | SK Rapid · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.23 |
| M22 | Sturm Graz · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.05 |
| M23 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.54 |
| M24 | Wolfsberger AC · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.38 |
| M25 | Ried · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.27 |
| M26 | Grazer AK · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.92 |
| M27 | Tirol · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.56 |
| M28 | Tirol · Home21 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +1.02 |
| M29 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.06 |
| M30 | Wolfsberger AC · Home4 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.45 |
| M31 | Grazer AK · Away9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −1.61 |
| M32 | Ried · Home16 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −0.52 |
| Total | 42 | −0.52 | |||