Points
37Points expected by the market
35.79Gap
+1.21Yield
−13.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 26 | +4.12 | +19.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −4.35 | −63.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 19 | +6.87 | +55.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.43 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −2.75 | −21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.92 | −36.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Austria Vienna · Home3 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.05 |
| M2 | Salzburg · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.57 |
| M3 | Tirol · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.92 |
| M4 | Altach · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.87 |
| M5 | Sturm Graz · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −1.67 |
| M6 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.83 |
| M7 | SK Rapid · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.64 |
| M8 | Ried · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −2.65 |
| M9 | Wolfsberger AC · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.60 |
| M10 | Hartberg · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.87 |
| M11 | LASK · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.65 |
| M12 | Altach · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −2.78 |
| M13 | Austria Vienna · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.61 |
| M14 | SK Rapid · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | −1.41 |
| M15 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.21 |
| M16 | Sturm Graz · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.70 |
| M17 | LASK · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.77 |
| M18 | Wolfsberger AC · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.94 |
| M19 | Salzburg · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −1.79 |
| M20 | Hartberg · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −3.08 |
| M21 | Ried · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.27 |
| M22 | Tirol · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.51 |
| M23 | Wolfsberger AC · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −0.85 |
| M24 | Tirol · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.89 |
| M25 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.38 |
| M26 | Altach · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +1.04 |
| M27 | Ried · Home17 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.62 |
| M28 | Ried · Away21 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.40 |
| M29 | Wolfsberger AC · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.59 |
| M30 | Tirol · Home2 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.15 |
| M31 | Altach · Home9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.69 |
| M32 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away16 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.21 |
| Total | 37 | +1.21 | |||