Points
42Points expected by the market
31.59Gap
+10.41Yield
+35.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.15 | +22.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 27 | +7.26 | +40.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +3.03 | +36.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −2.99 | −64.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.12 | −7.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 21 | +10.25 | +121.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Tirol · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.19 |
| M2 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +0.95 |
| M3 | Salzburg · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | +0.33 |
| M4 | Austria Vienna · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +2.52 |
| M5 | SK Rapid · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.56 |
| M6 | Ried · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.31 |
| M7 | Wolfsberger AC · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +3.41 |
| M8 | Sturm Graz · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +2.54 |
| M9 | LASK · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.05 | +2.59 |
| M10 | Grazer AK · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +2.15 |
| M11 | Altach · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.08 |
| M12 | Austria Vienna · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +4.03 |
| M13 | Wolfsberger AC · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +6.07 |
| M14 | Ried · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +7.85 |
| M15 | Sturm Graz · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +6.83 |
| M16 | LASK · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | +6.78 |
| M17 | Tirol · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +8.46 |
| M18 | SK Rapid · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +8.51 |
| M19 | Altach · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +8.06 |
| M20 | Grazer AK · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +9.66 |
| M21 | Salzburg · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.35 | +10.01 |
| M22 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +9.58 |
| M23 | LASK · Away13 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | +9.80 |
| M24 | Austria Vienna · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +8.63 |
| M25 | Salzburg · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +7.88 |
| M26 | Sturm Graz · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | +8.08 |
| M27 | SK Rapid · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | +8.04 |
| M28 | SK Rapid · Away22 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.24 | +10.28 |
| M29 | LASK · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.75 | +9.53 |
| M30 | Austria Vienna · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +8.68 |
| M31 | Sturm Graz · Home10 May 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | +7.84 |
| M32 | Salzburg · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.57 | +10.41 |
| Total | 42 | +10.41 | |||