Points
48Points expected by the market
58.86Gap
−10.86Yield
−28.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 8 | −5.41 | −53.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 33 | −7.17 | −29.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.71 | +19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 5 | −6.23 | −72.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −3.47 | −21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −3.70 | −38.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.71 | +19.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ried · Away2 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | −0.94 |
| M2 | Grazer AK · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −0.13 |
| M3 | Hartberg · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +0.70 |
| M4 | LASK · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.71 |
| M5 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.35 | +0.36 |
| M6 | Wolfsberger AC · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −1.42 |
| M7 | Sturm Graz · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −3.14 |
| M8 | Tirol · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −2.12 |
| M9 | SK Rapid · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.76 |
| M10 | Altach · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | −1.67 |
| M11 | Austria Vienna · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.11 |
| M12 | Ried · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.19 |
| M13 | Sturm Graz · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.92 |
| M14 | Tirol · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.14 | −1.22 |
| M15 | Altach · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −1.76 |
| M16 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −0.60 |
| M17 | Wolfsberger AC · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.51 |
| M18 | Austria Vienna · Home6 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −1.48 |
| M19 | Grazer AK · Away15 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −2.38 |
| M20 | LASK · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −0.78 |
| M21 | Hartberg · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.14 | −1.92 |
| M22 | SK Rapid · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −3.62 |
| M23 | SK Rapid · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.90 | −5.52 |
| M24 | Sturm Graz · Away20 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −6.17 |
| M25 | Hartberg · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −5.19 |
| M26 | LASK · Home10 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.76 | −6.95 |
| M27 | Austria Vienna · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −5.66 |
| M28 | Austria Vienna · Home22 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −4.69 |
| M29 | SK Rapid · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −6.33 |
| M30 | Sturm Graz · Home3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −7.27 |
| M31 | LASK · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −8.45 |
| M32 | Hartberg · Home17 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.42 | −10.86 |
| Total | 48 | −10.86 | |||