← Bundesliga 2025-26

Sturm Graz

Season 2025-26 · 32 matches played

Last 5DDDWW

Points

56

Points expected by the market

47.96

Gap

+8.04

Yield

+12.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 13 26 23.25 +2.75 +9.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 22 20.79 +1.21 −2.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 4 8 3.92 +4.08 +77.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 LASK · Away1 Aug 2025 1 Aug 2025 W 2-0 2.71 1.29 3 +1.71 +1.71 +€1.71
M2 SK Rapid · Home10 Aug 2025 10 Aug 2025 L 1-2 2.13 1.57 0 −1.57 +0.14 −€1.00
M3 Ried · Away16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 W 3-1 1.78 1.81 3 +1.19 +1.33 +€0.78
M4 Grazer AK · Away30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 W 3-0 1.60 1.97 3 +1.03 +2.37 +€0.60
M5 Austria Vienna · Home14 Sep 2025 14 Sep 2025 L 0-1 2.24 1.52 0 −1.52 +0.85 −€1.00
M6 Salzburg · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 W 2-0 3.56 1.02 3 +1.98 +2.82 +€2.56
M7 Hartberg · Home28 Sep 2025 28 Sep 2025 W 1-0 1.69 1.89 3 +1.11 +3.94 +€0.69
M8 Altach · Away5 Oct 2025 5 Oct 2025 W 2-0 2.30 1.48 3 +1.52 +5.45 +€1.30
M9 Blau-Weiß Linz · Away19 Oct 2025 19 Oct 2025 W 4-3 1.80 1.80 3 +1.20 +6.65 +€0.80
M10 Wolfsberger AC · Home26 Oct 2025 26 Oct 2025 L 1-3 2.32 1.47 0 −1.47 +5.18 −€1.00
M11 SK Rapid · Away2 Nov 2025 2 Nov 2025 L 1-2 2.55 1.35 0 −1.35 +3.82 −€1.00
M12 Salzburg · Home9 Nov 2025 9 Nov 2025 D 1-1 2.30 1.47 1 −0.47 +3.35 −€1.00
M13 LASK · Home23 Nov 2025 23 Nov 2025 L 1-3 1.94 1.68 0 −1.68 +1.67 −€1.00
M14 Hartberg · Away30 Nov 2025 30 Nov 2025 W 1-0 1.91 1.72 3 +1.28 +2.95 +€0.91
M15 Tirol · Home3 Dec 2025 3 Dec 2025 L 1-3 1.65 1.93 0 −1.93 +1.02 −€1.00
M16 Grazer AK · Home7 Dec 2025 7 Dec 2025 W 2-1 1.81 1.81 3 +1.19 +2.21 +€0.81
M17 Austria Vienna · Away14 Dec 2025 14 Dec 2025 L 1-3 2.54 1.38 0 −1.38 +0.84 −€1.00
M18 Ried · Home8 Feb 2026 8 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.39 1.45 3 +1.55 +2.38 +€1.39
M19 Tirol · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 L 0-1 2.38 1.46 0 −1.46 +0.92 −€1.00
M20 Blau-Weiß Linz · Home22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.21 1.55 3 +1.45 +2.37 +€1.21
M21 Wolfsberger AC · Away1 Mar 2026 1 Mar 2026 D 2-2 2.62 1.34 1 −0.34 +2.03 −€1.00
M22 Altach · Home8 Mar 2026 8 Mar 2026 W 2-0 2.24 1.53 3 +1.47 +3.51 +€1.24
M23 Austria Vienna · Away15 Mar 2026 15 Mar 2026 W 5-2 2.76 1.30 3 +1.70 +5.21 +€1.76
M24 Salzburg · Home20 Mar 2026 20 Mar 2026 D 1-1 3.37 1.09 1 −0.09 +5.12 −€1.00
M25 SK Rapid · Away5 Apr 2026 5 Apr 2026 W 2-0 3.53 1.06 3 +1.94 +7.06 +€2.53
M26 Hartberg · Home12 Apr 2026 12 Apr 2026 D 0-0 1.61 1.96 1 −0.96 +6.10 −€1.00
M27 LASK · Away19 Apr 2026 19 Apr 2026 D 1-1 3.67 1.00 1 0.00 +6.10 −€1.00
M28 LASK · Home22 Apr 2026 22 Apr 2026 D 1-1 3.30 1.10 1 −0.10 +6.00 −€1.00
M29 Austria Vienna · Home26 Apr 2026 26 Apr 2026 D 1-1 2.15 1.56 1 −0.56 +5.43 −€1.00
M30 Salzburg · Away3 May 2026 3 May 2026 D 1-1 4.51 0.84 1 +0.16 +5.60 −€1.00
M31 Hartberg · Away10 May 2026 10 May 2026 W 4-2 1.66 1.91 3 +1.09 +6.68 +€0.66
M32 SK Rapid · Home17 May 2026 17 May 2026 W 2-0 1.99 1.64 3 +1.36 +8.04 +€0.99
Total 47.96 56 +8.04 +€3.94