Points
40Points expected by the market
36.29Gap
+3.71Yield
+5.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 31 | +3.35 | +2.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +0.35 | +11.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 26 | +7.96 | +37.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.86 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 5 | −4.60 | −59.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +2.21 | +39.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hartberg · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.47 |
| M2 | LASK · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +3.38 |
| M3 | Grazer AK · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +3.00 |
| M4 | Wolfsberger AC · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +2.78 |
| M5 | SK Rapid · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.05 |
| M6 | Altach · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +2.00 |
| M7 | Salzburg · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +1.20 |
| M8 | Ried · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.09 |
| M9 | Austria Vienna · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.97 |
| M10 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +0.80 |
| M11 | Wolfsberger AC · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.98 |
| M12 | SK Rapid · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.87 |
| M13 | Salzburg · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.35 | +3.22 |
| M14 | Austria Vienna · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +3.30 |
| M15 | Sturm Graz · Away3 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +5.48 |
| M16 | Altach · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +4.16 |
| M17 | Hartberg · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +2.77 |
| M18 | LASK · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | +1.97 |
| M19 | Sturm Graz · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.73 |
| M20 | Ried · Home22 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +3.54 |
| M21 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.86 | +5.39 |
| M22 | Grazer AK · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +6.92 |
| M23 | Ried · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +5.92 |
| M24 | Grazer AK · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.44 | +4.47 |
| M25 | Wolfsberger AC · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +6.16 |
| M26 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.20 | +4.96 |
| M27 | Altach · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.62 |
| M28 | Altach · Away21 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +4.46 |
| M29 | Ried · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +6.21 |
| M30 | Grazer AK · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.14 | +5.07 |
| M31 | Blau-Weiß Linz · Home9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +4.78 |
| M32 | Wolfsberger AC · Away16 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +3.71 |
| Total | 40 | +3.71 | |||