← Bundesliga 2026-27

Sturm Graz

Season 2026-27 · 9 matches played

Last 5LWLWW

Points

17

Points expected by the market

14.13

Gap

+2.87

Yield

+18.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 1 1 2.25 −1.25 −100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 13 8.93 +4.07 +46.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches 2 3 2.22 +0.78 +66.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 1 0 0.73 −0.73 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Tirol · Away1 Aug 2026 1 Aug 2026 D 1-1 1.78 1.81 1 −0.81 −0.81 −€1.00
M2 Hartberg · Away8 Aug 2026 8 Aug 2026 W 2-0 1.68 1.88 3 +1.12 +0.31 +€0.68
M3 Altach · Home15 Aug 2026 15 Aug 2026 W 1-0 1.62 1.94 3 +1.06 +1.37 +€0.62
M4 Austria Lustenau · Home22 Aug 2026 22 Aug 2026 D 1-1 1.34 2.25 1 −1.25 +0.12 −€1.00
M5 SK Rapid · Away30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 L 1-3 3.09 1.14 0 −1.14 −1.03 −€1.00
M6 LASK · Home13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 W 2-1 3.33 1.07 3 +1.93 +0.90 +€2.33
M7 Salzburg · Away20 Sep 2026 20 Sep 2026 L 0-3 5.18 0.73 0 −0.73 +0.17 −€1.00
M8 Austria Vienna · Away10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 W 2-0 2.09 1.58 3 +1.42 +1.58 +€1.09
M9 Grazer AK · Home18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 W 6-1 1.91 1.71 3 +1.29 +2.87 +€0.91
Total 14.13 17 +2.87 +€1.63