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← Brasileirão 2019

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Season 2019 · 38 matches played

Last 5LLDLD

Points

20

Points expected by the market

35.69

Gap

−15.69

Yield

−63.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 2 2 3.63 −1.63 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 11 7 14.85 −7.85 −76.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 25 11 17.21 −6.21 −54.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Atletico-MG · Away27 Apr 2019 27 Apr 2019 L 1-2 6.34 0.68 0 −0.68 −0.68 −€1.00
M2 Gremio · Home1 May 2019 1 May 2019 D 1-1 3.72 1.06 1 −0.06 −0.74 −€1.00
M3 Bahia · Away5 May 2019 5 May 2019 L 0-1 5.87 0.73 0 −0.73 −1.47 −€1.00
M4 CSA · Home12 May 2019 12 May 2019 D 0-0 1.69 1.93 1 −0.93 −2.41 −€1.00
M5 Vasco · Away19 May 2019 19 May 2019 D 1-1 5.15 0.81 1 +0.19 −2.22 −€1.00
M6 Ceara · Home28 May 2019 28 May 2019 L 1-2 2.49 1.45 0 −1.45 −3.67 −€1.00
M7 Internacional · Away2 Jun 2019 2 Jun 2019 L 0-2 7.95 0.58 0 −0.58 −4.25 −€1.00
M8 Sao Paulo · Home9 Jun 2019 9 Jun 2019 D 0-0 2.99 1.28 1 −0.28 −4.53 −€1.00
M9 Palmeiras · Away14 Jun 2019 14 Jun 2019 L 0-2 14.04 0.38 0 −0.38 −4.91 −€1.00
M10 Fortaleza · Away13 Jul 2019 13 Jul 2019 L 0-2 4.34 0.95 0 −0.95 −5.86 −€1.00
M11 Goias · Home21 Jul 2019 21 Jul 2019 D 0-0 2.01 1.70 1 −0.70 −6.56 −€1.00
M12 Santos · Away28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 L 1-3 11.28 0.44 0 −0.44 −7.00 −€1.00
M13 Botafogo RJ · Home4 Aug 2019 4 Aug 2019 L 0-2 2.24 1.57 0 −1.57 −8.57 −€1.00
M14 Cruzeiro · Home11 Aug 2019 11 Aug 2019 D 2-2 3.13 1.22 1 −0.22 −8.79 −€1.00
M15 Chapecoense-SC · Away18 Aug 2019 18 Aug 2019 L 0-1 3.97 1.02 0 −1.02 −9.81 −€1.00
M16 Corinthians · Home25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 D 1-1 2.75 1.36 1 −0.36 −10.17 −€1.00
M17 Fluminense · Away3 Sep 2019 3 Sep 2019 W 1-0 6.50 0.68 3 +2.32 −7.84 +€5.50
M18 Flamengo RJ · Home7 Sep 2019 7 Sep 2019 L 0-3 7.75 0.58 0 −0.58 −8.43 −€1.00
M19 Athletico-PR · Away15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 W 1-0 5.00 0.83 3 +2.17 −6.25 +€4.00
M20 Atletico-MG · Home24 Sep 2019 24 Sep 2019 W 1-0 2.56 1.41 3 +1.59 −4.66 +€1.56
M21 Gremio · Away27 Sep 2019 27 Sep 2019 L 1-6 10.63 0.47 0 −0.47 −5.12 −€1.00
M22 Bahia · Home1 Oct 2019 1 Oct 2019 L 0-2 3.08 1.24 0 −1.24 −6.36 −€1.00
M23 CSA · Away6 Oct 2019 6 Oct 2019 L 1-3 3.28 1.19 0 −1.19 −7.55 −€1.00
M24 Vasco · Home10 Oct 2019 10 Oct 2019 D 0-0 3.07 1.25 1 −0.25 −7.80 −€1.00
M25 Ceara · Away13 Oct 2019 13 Oct 2019 L 0-1 6.83 0.67 0 −0.67 −8.47 −€1.00
M26 Internacional · Home17 Oct 2019 17 Oct 2019 L 0-2 3.88 1.04 0 −1.04 −9.51 −€1.00
M27 Sao Paulo · Away20 Oct 2019 20 Oct 2019 L 0-1 8.94 0.53 0 −0.53 −10.04 −€1.00
M28 Palmeiras · Home27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 1-2 6.30 0.71 0 −0.71 −10.75 −€1.00
M29 Fortaleza · Home30 Oct 2019 30 Oct 2019 L 1-3 2.54 1.42 0 −1.42 −12.17 −€1.00
M30 Goias · Away3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 L 0-2 5.86 0.73 0 −0.73 −12.91 −€1.00
M31 Santos · Home7 Nov 2019 7 Nov 2019 L 1-2 6.27 0.70 0 −0.70 −13.61 −€1.00
M32 Botafogo RJ · Away11 Nov 2019 11 Nov 2019 L 0-2 5.50 0.77 0 −0.77 −14.38 −€1.00
M33 Cruzeiro · Away18 Nov 2019 18 Nov 2019 D 0-0 11.39 0.43 1 +0.57 −13.81 −€1.00
M34 Chapecoense-SC · Home24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 L 0-1 2.41 1.47 0 −1.47 −15.28 −€1.00
M35 Corinthians · Away28 Nov 2019 28 Nov 2019 L 0-3 10.05 0.50 0 −0.50 −15.78 −€1.00
M36 Fluminense · Home1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 D 1-1 6.11 0.70 1 +0.30 −15.49 −€1.00
M37 Flamengo RJ · Away5 Dec 2019 5 Dec 2019 L 1-6 21.17 0.23 0 −0.23 −15.72 −€1.00
M38 Athletico-PR · Home8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 D 0-0 4.01 0.97 1 +0.03 −15.69 −€1.00
Total 35.69 20 −15.69 −€23.94