Points
49Points expected by the market
51.56Gap
−2.56Yield
−13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.64 | −56.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −3.15 | −36.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.08 | −5.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 13 | +1.16 | +0.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.64 | −56.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −3.15 | −36.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +0.94 | +6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.14 | −18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 12 | +1.09 | +8.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Corinthians · Home28 Apr 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.43 |
| M2 | Botafogo RJ · Away3 May 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.14 | +0.30 |
| M3 | Avai · Home5 May 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +1.28 |
| M4 | Athletico-PR · Away12 May 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.40 |
| M5 | Sao Paulo · Away19 May 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.55 |
| M6 | Fluminense · Home26 May 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.77 |
| M7 | Gremio · Home1 Jun 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +3.28 |
| M8 | Ceara · Away8 Jun 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.05 |
| M9 | Internacional · Away13 Jun 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +2.23 |
| M10 | Santos · Home13 Jul 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.88 |
| M11 | Cruzeiro · Home20 Jul 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | −0.07 |
| M12 | Chapecoense-SC · Away28 Jul 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.39 |
| M13 | Flamengo RJ · Home4 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.31 |
| M14 | Palmeiras · Away11 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.48 | +1.79 |
| M15 | Goias · Home18 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | +0.64 |
| M16 | Atletico-MG · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +2.60 |
| M17 | CSA · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +3.26 |
| M18 | Vasco · Away7 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +5.16 |
| M19 | Fortaleza · Home15 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +4.14 |
| M20 | Corinthians · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.21 |
| M21 | Botafogo RJ · Home26 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.19 |
| M22 | Avai · Away1 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +5.76 |
| M23 | Athletico-PR · Home5 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +4.14 |
| M24 | Sao Paulo · Home10 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +3.68 |
| M25 | Fluminense · Away12 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.63 |
| M26 | Gremio · Away16 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +4.98 |
| M27 | Ceara · Home21 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | +3.02 |
| M28 | Internacional · Home26 Oct 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.58 |
| M29 | Santos · Away31 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | +0.86 |
| M30 | Cruzeiro · Away3 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.01 |
| M31 | Chapecoense-SC · Home7 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | −0.14 |
| M32 | Flamengo RJ · Away10 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −0.57 |
| M33 | Palmeiras · Home17 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.50 |
| M34 | Goias · Away24 Nov 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.75 |
| M35 | Atletico-MG · Home28 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.19 |
| M36 | CSA · Away1 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.68 |
| M37 | Vasco · Home5 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −1.49 |
| M38 | Fortaleza · Away8 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.56 |
| Total | 49 | −2.56 | |||