ESEN
← Brasileirão 2019

Botafogo RJ

Season 2019 · 38 matches played

Last 5WWLLD

Points

43

Points expected by the market

41.01

Gap

+1.99

Yield

−12.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 6 16 10.96 +5.04 +53.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 19 15.38 +3.62 +37.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 20 8 14.67 −6.67 −62.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Sao Paulo · Away27 Apr 2019 27 Apr 2019 L 0-2 5.14 0.83 0 −0.83 −0.83 −€1.00
M2 Bahia · Home3 May 2019 3 May 2019 W 3-2 2.27 1.55 3 +1.45 +0.62 +€1.27
M3 Fortaleza · Home5 May 2019 5 May 2019 W 1-0 1.71 1.90 3 +1.10 +1.72 +€0.71
M4 Fluminense · Away11 May 2019 11 May 2019 W 1-0 3.91 1.01 3 +1.99 +3.72 +€2.91
M5 Goias · Away19 May 2019 19 May 2019 L 0-1 3.44 1.12 0 −1.12 +2.60 −€1.00
M6 Palmeiras · Home25 May 2019 25 May 2019 L 0-1 8.15 0.57 0 −0.57 +2.03 −€1.00
M7 Vasco · Home2 Jun 2019 2 Jun 2019 W 1-0 2.24 1.55 3 +1.45 +3.48 +€1.24
M8 CSA · Away9 Jun 2019 9 Jun 2019 W 2-1 2.57 1.41 3 +1.59 +5.06 +€1.57
M9 Gremio · Home12 Jun 2019 12 Jun 2019 L 0-1 3.01 1.25 0 −1.25 +3.82 −€1.00
M10 Cruzeiro · Away14 Jul 2019 14 Jul 2019 D 0-0 5.45 0.78 1 +0.22 +4.04 −€1.00
M11 Santos · Home21 Jul 2019 21 Jul 2019 L 0-1 3.41 1.13 0 −1.13 +2.90 −€1.00
M12 Flamengo RJ · Away28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 L 2-3 8.37 0.54 0 −0.54 +2.36 −€1.00
M13 Avai · Away4 Aug 2019 4 Aug 2019 W 2-0 3.52 1.11 3 +1.89 +4.25 +€2.52
M14 Athletico-PR · Home11 Aug 2019 11 Aug 2019 W 2-1 2.09 1.63 3 +1.37 +5.62 +€1.09
M15 Corinthians · Away17 Aug 2019 17 Aug 2019 L 0-2 6.58 0.70 0 −0.70 +4.92 −€1.00
M16 Chapecoense-SC · Home27 Aug 2019 27 Aug 2019 D 0-0 1.75 1.88 1 −0.88 +4.04 −€1.00
M17 Internacional · Away1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 L 2-3 6.50 0.69 0 −0.69 +3.35 −€1.00
M18 Atletico-MG · Home8 Sep 2019 8 Sep 2019 W 2-1 3.33 1.14 3 +1.86 +5.21 +€2.33
M19 Ceara · Away15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 D 0-0 5.33 0.79 1 +0.21 +5.42 −€1.00
M20 Sao Paulo · Home21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 L 1-2 3.70 1.06 0 −1.06 +4.36 −€1.00
M21 Bahia · Away26 Sep 2019 26 Sep 2019 L 0-2 5.86 0.73 0 −0.73 +3.63 −€1.00
M22 Fortaleza · Away1 Oct 2019 1 Oct 2019 L 0-1 4.47 0.90 0 −0.90 +2.73 −€1.00
M23 Fluminense · Home6 Oct 2019 6 Oct 2019 L 0-1 2.97 1.26 0 −1.26 +1.47 −€1.00
M24 Goias · Home9 Oct 2019 9 Oct 2019 W 3-1 2.08 1.64 3 +1.36 +2.83 +€1.08
M25 Palmeiras · Away13 Oct 2019 13 Oct 2019 L 0-1 12.51 0.39 0 −0.39 +2.43 −€1.00
M26 Vasco · Away17 Oct 2019 17 Oct 2019 L 1-2 5.04 0.82 0 −0.82 +1.61 −€1.00
M27 CSA · Home22 Oct 2019 22 Oct 2019 W 2-1 1.69 1.94 3 +1.06 +2.68 +€0.69
M28 Gremio · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 0-3 10.01 0.47 0 −0.47 +2.21 −€1.00
M29 Cruzeiro · Home1 Nov 2019 1 Nov 2019 L 0-2 3.24 1.19 0 −1.19 +1.03 −€1.00
M30 Santos · Away3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 L 1-4 9.72 0.48 0 −0.48 +0.55 −€1.00
M31 Flamengo RJ · Home7 Nov 2019 7 Nov 2019 L 0-1 7.08 0.60 0 −0.60 −0.06 −€1.00
M32 Avai · Home11 Nov 2019 11 Nov 2019 W 2-0 1.65 1.97 3 +1.03 +0.98 +€0.65
M33 Athletico-PR · Away17 Nov 2019 17 Nov 2019 L 0-1 8.06 0.56 0 −0.56 +0.42 −€1.00
M34 Corinthians · Home24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 W 1-0 3.02 1.25 3 +1.75 +2.17 +€2.02
M35 Chapecoense-SC · Away27 Nov 2019 27 Nov 2019 W 1-0 3.02 1.24 3 +1.76 +3.92 +€2.02
M36 Internacional · Home30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 L 0-1 3.65 1.07 0 −1.07 +2.85 −€1.00
M37 Atletico-MG · Away4 Dec 2019 4 Dec 2019 L 0-2 7.83 0.58 0 −0.58 +2.27 −€1.00
M38 Ceara · Home8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 D 1-1 3.10 1.28 1 −0.28 +1.99 −€1.00
Total 41.01 43 +1.99 −€4.90