Points
39Points expected by the market
47.70Gap
−8.70Yield
−26.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 16 | −2.15 | −30.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 15 | −4.24 | −23.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −2.31 | −25.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 16 | −2.15 | −30.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | −0.21 | −5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.13 | +384.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −4.03 | −47.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 5 | −4.44 | −57.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | CSA · Home28 Apr 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.19 |
| M2 | Cruzeiro · Away1 May 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | +0.58 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Home5 May 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.93 |
| M4 | Goias · Away12 May 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.00 |
| M5 | Gremio · Home19 May 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.27 |
| M6 | Avai · Away28 May 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.51 |
| M7 | Santos · Home2 Jun 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.17 |
| M8 | Bahia · Home8 Jun 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.27 |
| M9 | Vasco · Away13 Jun 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.39 |
| M10 | Fluminense · Away16 Jul 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −1.17 |
| M11 | Palmeiras · Home20 Jul 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +0.96 |
| M12 | Internacional · Away27 Jul 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.01 |
| M13 | Fortaleza · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M14 | Chapecoense-SC · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +2.46 |
| M15 | Sao Paulo · Away18 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | +1.72 |
| M16 | Flamengo RJ · Home25 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.52 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.59 | −0.07 |
| M18 | Corinthians · Away7 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.16 |
| M19 | Botafogo RJ · Home15 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | −0.78 |
| M20 | CSA · Away22 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.23 |
| M21 | Cruzeiro · Home25 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −2.84 |
| M22 | Atletico-MG · Away29 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −3.57 |
| M23 | Goias · Home6 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.00 | −5.57 |
| M24 | Gremio · Away10 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −6.34 |
| M25 | Avai · Home13 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −5.42 |
| M26 | Santos · Away17 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −6.05 |
| M27 | Bahia · Away21 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −3.83 |
| M28 | Vasco · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −4.51 |
| M29 | Fluminense · Home31 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −3.23 |
| M30 | Palmeiras · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.40 | −3.63 |
| M31 | Internacional · Home7 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −2.11 |
| M32 | Fortaleza · Away10 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.50 |
| M33 | Chapecoense-SC · Away17 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.00 |
| M34 | Sao Paulo · Home24 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −5.41 |
| M35 | Flamengo RJ · Away28 Nov 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −6.02 |
| M36 | Athletico-PR · Home30 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −6.68 |
| M37 | Corinthians · Home4 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −8.35 |
| M38 | Botafogo RJ · Away8 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −8.70 |
| Total | 39 | −8.70 | |||