Points
32Points expected by the market
36.10Gap
−4.10Yield
−15.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.96 | +38.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −2.92 | −16.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 13 | −3.14 | −21.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.96 | +38.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.43 | −32.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −5.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.52 | +53.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 12 | +1.94 | +11.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Internacional · Home27 Apr 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.72 |
| M2 | Corinthians · Away1 May 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | +1.01 |
| M3 | Athletico-PR · Home5 May 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.57 |
| M4 | Flamengo RJ · Away12 May 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.01 |
| M5 | Fortaleza · Home19 May 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.54 |
| M6 | Cruzeiro · Away26 May 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.47 | +0.93 |
| M7 | Palmeiras · Home2 Jun 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +0.19 |
| M8 | Goias · Away11 Jun 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.72 |
| M9 | Fluminense · Home14 Jun 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −1.08 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Home14 Jul 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.55 |
| M11 | Sao Paulo · Away23 Jul 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.19 |
| M12 | Bahia · Home28 Jul 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.55 |
| M13 | Gremio · Away6 Aug 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.57 | −2.98 |
| M14 | Ceara · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.74 |
| M15 | Avai · Home18 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −2.41 |
| M16 | Botafogo RJ · Away27 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.16 | −2.25 |
| M17 | Santos · Home31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.23 |
| M18 | CSA · Away8 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.49 |
| M19 | Vasco · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −5.84 |
| M20 | Internacional · Away22 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −6.40 |
| M21 | Athletico-PR · Away29 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.57 | −5.83 |
| M22 | Corinthians · Home2 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.85 |
| M23 | Flamengo RJ · Home6 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −7.57 |
| M24 | Fortaleza · Away10 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −8.32 |
| M25 | Cruzeiro · Home13 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −8.31 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Away17 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | −8.61 |
| M27 | Goias · Home20 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −9.32 |
| M28 | Fluminense · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | −8.90 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Away30 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.54 | −6.36 |
| M30 | Sao Paulo · Home3 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −7.28 |
| M31 | Bahia · Away7 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | −6.89 |
| M32 | Gremio · Home10 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −7.62 |
| M33 | Ceara · Home17 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.82 |
| M34 | Avai · Away24 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −4.04 |
| M35 | Botafogo RJ · Home27 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −5.49 |
| M36 | Santos · Away1 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −5.87 |
| M37 | CSA · Home5 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.52 |
| M38 | Vasco · Away8 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | −4.10 |
| Total | 32 | −4.10 | |||