← Brasileirão 2019

Fortaleza

Season 2019 · 38 matches played

Last 5DWWDW

Points

53

Points expected by the market

43.25

Gap

+9.75

Yield

+2.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 19 14.44 +4.56 +35.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 13 25 16.78 +8.22 +87.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more 17 9 12.03 −3.03 −77.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Palmeiras · Away28 Apr 2019 28 Apr 2019 L 0-4 8.53 0.53 0 −0.53 −0.53 −€1.00
M2 Athletico-PR · Home2 May 2019 2 May 2019 W 2-1 3.42 1.12 3 +1.88 +1.35 +€2.42
M3 Botafogo RJ · Away5 May 2019 5 May 2019 L 0-1 4.74 0.85 0 −0.85 +0.50 −€1.00
M4 Sao Paulo · Home12 May 2019 12 May 2019 L 0-1 2.86 1.29 0 −1.29 −0.79 −€1.00
M5 Chapecoense-SC · Away19 May 2019 19 May 2019 W 3-1 3.37 1.15 3 +1.85 +1.06 +€2.37
M6 Vasco · Home26 May 2019 26 May 2019 D 1-1 1.88 1.77 1 −0.77 +0.28 −€1.00
M7 Flamengo RJ · Away1 Jun 2019 1 Jun 2019 L 0-2 7.63 0.58 0 −0.58 −0.30 −€1.00
M8 Gremio · Away8 Jun 2019 8 Jun 2019 L 0-1 7.56 0.60 0 −0.60 −0.90 −€1.00
M9 Cruzeiro · Home13 Jun 2019 13 Jun 2019 W 2-1 3.20 1.20 3 +1.80 +0.90 +€2.20
M10 Avai · Home13 Jul 2019 13 Jul 2019 W 2-0 1.96 1.74 3 +1.26 +2.16 +€0.96
M11 Atletico-MG · Away21 Jul 2019 21 Jul 2019 D 2-2 6.29 0.67 1 +0.33 +2.49 −€1.00
M12 Corinthians · Home28 Jul 2019 28 Jul 2019 L 1-3 2.48 1.47 0 −1.47 +1.02 −€1.00
M13 Ceara · Away3 Aug 2019 3 Aug 2019 L 1-2 3.47 1.12 0 −1.12 −0.10 −€1.00
M14 CSA · Away13 Aug 2019 13 Aug 2019 W 2-0 2.68 1.37 3 +1.63 +1.53 +€1.68
M15 Internacional · Home17 Aug 2019 17 Aug 2019 L 0-1 2.18 1.59 0 −1.59 −0.06 −€1.00
M16 Santos · Away25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 D 3-3 9.68 0.48 1 +0.52 +0.46 −€1.00
M17 Goias · Home1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 W 2-0 1.83 1.82 3 +1.18 +1.64 +€0.83
M18 Fluminense · Home7 Sep 2019 7 Sep 2019 L 0-1 2.20 1.57 0 −1.57 +0.07 −€1.00
M19 Bahia · Away15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 D 1-1 6.00 0.72 1 +0.28 +0.35 −€1.00
M20 Palmeiras · Home22 Sep 2019 22 Sep 2019 L 0-1 4.54 0.90 0 −0.90 −0.55 −€1.00
M21 Athletico-PR · Away27 Sep 2019 27 Sep 2019 L 1-4 6.90 0.62 0 −0.62 −1.17 −€1.00
M22 Botafogo RJ · Home1 Oct 2019 1 Oct 2019 W 1-0 1.80 1.83 3 +1.17 −0.01 +€0.80
M23 Sao Paulo · Away5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 L 1-2 7.14 0.62 0 −0.62 −0.63 −€1.00
M24 Chapecoense-SC · Home10 Oct 2019 10 Oct 2019 W 2-0 1.59 2.01 3 +0.99 +0.37 +€0.59
M25 Vasco · Away13 Oct 2019 13 Oct 2019 L 0-1 6.04 0.70 0 −0.70 −0.34 −€1.00
M26 Flamengo RJ · Home17 Oct 2019 17 Oct 2019 L 1-2 5.79 0.73 0 −0.73 −1.07 −€1.00
M27 Gremio · Home19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 W 2-1 2.71 1.35 3 +1.65 +0.58 +€1.71
M28 Cruzeiro · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 D 1-1 6.08 0.73 1 +0.27 +0.85 −€1.00
M29 Avai · Away30 Oct 2019 30 Oct 2019 W 3-1 2.97 1.26 3 +1.74 +2.59 +€1.97
M30 Atletico-MG · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 D 2-2 2.58 1.40 1 −0.40 +2.19 −€1.00
M31 Corinthians · Away6 Nov 2019 6 Nov 2019 L 2-3 5.41 0.79 0 −0.79 +1.40 −€1.00
M32 Ceara · Home10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 W 1-0 2.88 1.29 3 +1.71 +3.11 +€1.88
M33 CSA · Home17 Nov 2019 17 Nov 2019 W 3-0 1.61 2.01 3 +0.99 +4.10 +€0.61
M34 Internacional · Away24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 D 2-2 8.15 0.56 1 +0.44 +4.54 −€1.00
M35 Santos · Home28 Nov 2019 28 Nov 2019 W 2-1 3.14 1.19 3 +1.81 +6.35 +€2.14
M36 Goias · Away1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 W 2-1 3.75 1.02 3 +1.98 +8.33 +€2.75
M37 Fluminense · Away5 Dec 2019 5 Dec 2019 D 0-0 4.32 0.92 1 +0.08 +8.41 −€1.00
M38 Bahia · Home8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 W 2-1 2.02 1.67 3 +1.33 +9.75 +€1.02
Total 43.25 53 +9.75 +€0.93