Points
53Points expected by the market
50.91Gap
+2.09Yield
+6.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.63 | +28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +5.06 | +30.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −5.62 | −38.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 14 | +2.01 | +35.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.63 | +28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +3.87 | +24.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −3.50 | −63.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.08 | +65.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.19 | +82.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.12 | −20.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +0.94 | +26.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortaleza · Away8 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.97 |
| M2 | Goias · Home12 Aug 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +2.60 |
| M3 | Santos · Away16 Aug 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.37 |
| M4 | Palmeiras · Home19 Aug 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.23 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Home22 Aug 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.54 |
| M6 | Sao Paulo · Away26 Aug 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.52 |
| M7 | Bragantino · Home3 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −3.01 |
| M8 | Vasco · Away6 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.17 |
| M9 | Botafogo RJ · Home9 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −5.03 |
| M10 | Coritiba · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −3.77 |
| M11 | Bahia · Home26 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −2.36 |
| M12 | Flamengo RJ · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.67 | −3.03 |
| M13 | Ceara · Home8 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.70 |
| M14 | Internacional · Away12 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −4.54 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Home15 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −6.11 |
| M16 | Atletico GO · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −6.33 |
| M17 | Gremio · Home25 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −7.84 |
| M18 | Sport Recife · Away1 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −9.28 |
| M19 | Fortaleza · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −7.90 |
| M20 | Goias · Away14 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −6.71 |
| M21 | Atletico-MG · Away18 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −4.57 |
| M22 | Santos · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −3.66 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.46 |
| M24 | Fluminense · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.63 |
| M25 | Atletico-MG · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.65 |
| M26 | Bragantino · Away20 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −4.60 |
| M27 | Vasco · Home27 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −3.36 |
| M28 | Botafogo RJ · Away6 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −1.64 |
| M29 | Coritiba · Away9 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.15 |
| M30 | Sao Paulo · Home17 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.25 |
| M31 | Bahia · Away20 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.25 |
| M32 | Flamengo RJ · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | −1.06 |
| M33 | Ceara · Away31 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.84 |
| M34 | Internacional · Home5 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.63 |
| M35 | Corinthians · Away11 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.63 |
| M36 | Atletico GO · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.85 |
| M37 | Gremio · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +0.91 |
| M38 | Sport Recife · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.09 |
| Total | 53 | +2.09 | |||