Points
50Points expected by the market
45.42Gap
+4.58Yield
+5.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −3.03 | −67.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 25 | +3.32 | +1.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 19 | +4.29 | +31.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −3.03 | −67.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.00 | −18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.51 | +115.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +2.31 | +28.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 12 | +1.78 | −3.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Flamengo RJ · Home13 Aug 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.38 | +2.38 |
| M2 | Sport Recife · Home16 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +1.68 |
| M3 | Internacional · Away20 Aug 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.85 |
| M4 | Goias · Away23 Aug 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.55 |
| M5 | Ceara · Home30 Aug 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.00 |
| M6 | Fluminense · Away2 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −1.82 |
| M7 | Gremio · Home6 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.69 |
| M8 | Vasco · Away11 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +0.23 |
| M9 | Bahia · Away13 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +2.17 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Home20 Sep 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.27 |
| M11 | Botafogo RJ · Home27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +0.57 |
| M12 | Corinthians · Away1 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.43 |
| M13 | Fortaleza · Away4 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.26 |
| M14 | Sao Paulo · Away8 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.51 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Home11 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.03 |
| M16 | Santos · Away15 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.90 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +2.43 |
| M18 | Palmeiras · Home25 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | +1.34 |
| M19 | Coritiba · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.14 |
| M20 | Corinthians · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.36 |
| M21 | Flamengo RJ · Away15 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.35 | −0.01 |
| M22 | Sport Recife · Away23 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.55 |
| M23 | Internacional · Home29 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.31 |
| M24 | Goias · Home7 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.98 | −0.67 |
| M25 | Ceara · Away13 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.36 |
| M26 | Fluminense · Home17 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.93 |
| M27 | Gremio · Away27 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +1.94 |
| M28 | Vasco · Home8 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.29 |
| M29 | Bahia · Home10 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +0.78 |
| M30 | Atletico-MG · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +0.18 |
| M31 | Botafogo RJ · Away20 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.98 |
| M32 | Fortaleza · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.47 |
| M33 | Sao Paulo · Home31 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +5.46 |
| M34 | Bragantino · Away3 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +4.70 |
| M35 | Santos · Home7 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +4.25 |
| M36 | Athletico-PR · Away14 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +3.31 |
| M37 | Palmeiras · Away22 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +3.58 |
| M38 | Coritiba · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.58 |
| Total | 50 | +4.58 | |||