Points
44Points expected by the market
47.97Gap
−3.97Yield
−20.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.96 | +5.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 20 | −2.89 | −9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −2.04 | −57.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.66 | +18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.73 | −7.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.07 | +54.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.70 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.16 | −11.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −3.11 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Coritiba · Home13 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| M2 | Bragantino · Home16 Aug 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.03 |
| M3 | Sao Paulo · Away21 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | +3.21 |
| M4 | Ceara · Away24 Aug 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.13 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Home29 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.12 |
| M6 | Flamengo RJ · Home3 Sep 2020 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.96 |
| M7 | Internacional · Away6 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | +1.27 |
| M8 | Gremio · Home10 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.20 |
| M9 | Atletico GO · Home13 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.43 |
| M10 | Corinthians · Away17 Sep 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.56 |
| M11 | Athletico-PR · Away26 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.67 |
| M12 | Botafogo RJ · Away1 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.98 |
| M13 | Sport Recife · Home4 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −3.78 |
| M14 | Vasco · Home7 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −2.62 |
| M15 | Fluminense · Away11 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.84 |
| M16 | Goias · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −4.55 |
| M17 | Atletico-MG · Home20 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −2.40 |
| M18 | Santos · Away1 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.50 |
| M19 | Botafogo RJ · Home8 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.13 |
| M20 | Fortaleza · Home11 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.66 |
| M21 | Coritiba · Away16 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.96 |
| M22 | Bragantino · Away20 Nov 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.17 |
| M23 | Sao Paulo · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.28 |
| M24 | Ceara · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.66 |
| M25 | Palmeiras · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −3.39 |
| M26 | Flamengo RJ · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −3.88 |
| M27 | Internacional · Home27 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.26 |
| M28 | Gremio · Away6 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −5.87 |
| M29 | Atletico GO · Away10 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −6.05 |
| M30 | Athletico-PR · Home20 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −4.76 |
| M31 | Sport Recife · Away24 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.20 |
| M32 | Corinthians · Home28 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −4.73 |
| M33 | Vasco · Away31 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.89 |
| M34 | Fluminense · Home4 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.22 |
| M35 | Goias · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.98 | −7.20 |
| M36 | Atletico-MG · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | −6.78 |
| M37 | Fortaleza · Away21 Feb 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −4.89 |
| M38 | Santos · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −3.97 |
| Total | 44 | −3.97 | |||