Points
53Points expected by the market
56.05Gap
−3.05Yield
−28.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 31 | +0.63 | −13.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 17 | −1.91 | −26.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +3.50 | +13.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.10 | −42.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −2.86 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.81 | −18.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santos · Away9 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.12 |
| M2 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −1.10 |
| M3 | Bahia · Away16 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.50 |
| M4 | Fluminense · Home19 Aug 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −1.16 |
| M5 | Coritiba · Home23 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −3.19 |
| M6 | Fortaleza · Away30 Aug 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.37 |
| M7 | Athletico-PR · Away3 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −4.59 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Home6 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.76 |
| M9 | Sao Paulo · Away9 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −5.81 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Away13 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −6.61 |
| M11 | Ceara · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.35 | −5.26 |
| M12 | Vasco · Away27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −5.81 |
| M13 | Corinthians · Home4 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −6.43 |
| M14 | Internacional · Home9 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −7.73 |
| M15 | Atletico GO · Away11 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −8.96 |
| M16 | Flamengo RJ · Away16 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −8.72 |
| M17 | Sport Recife · Home19 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −7.64 |
| M18 | Goias · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.79 | −6.85 |
| M19 | Gremio · Away2 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −7.86 |
| M20 | Santos · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −8.43 |
| M21 | Botafogo RJ · Away16 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −6.72 |
| M22 | Bahia · Home20 Nov 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −5.30 |
| M23 | Fluminense · Away30 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | −5.90 |
| M24 | Coritiba · Away6 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −6.48 |
| M25 | Fortaleza · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −5.33 |
| M26 | Athletico-PR · Home20 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −7.11 |
| M27 | Palmeiras · Away27 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −8.04 |
| M28 | Sao Paulo · Home7 Jan 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −6.32 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Home11 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −6.50 |
| M30 | Ceara · Away17 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −4.88 |
| M31 | Vasco · Home21 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.04 | −3.83 |
| M32 | Corinthians · Away25 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −2.15 |
| M33 | Internacional · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.29 |
| M34 | Atletico GO · Home3 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −2.29 |
| M35 | Flamengo RJ · Home7 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.45 |
| M36 | Sport Recife · Away15 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | −3.29 |
| M37 | Goias · Away21 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.85 | −4.14 |
| M38 | Gremio · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −3.05 |
| Total | 53 | −3.05 | |||