Points
52Points expected by the market
49.96Gap
+2.04Yield
+3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | −0.48 | +2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +3.12 | +13.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | −0.60 | −6.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.28 | −19.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.91 | −38.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.93 | +258.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.80 | +114.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +5.03 | +82.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −2.53 | −30.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sport Recife · Away9 Aug 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.40 |
| M2 | Gremio · Home13 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.80 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Away16 Aug 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.50 |
| M4 | Vasco · Home21 Aug 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −4.17 |
| M5 | Bahia · Home24 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −2.80 |
| M6 | Atletico GO · Away30 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.04 |
| M7 | Fortaleza · Home2 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.54 |
| M8 | Santos · Home6 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.13 |
| M9 | Internacional · Away10 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.90 |
| M10 | Flamengo RJ · Home13 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +0.03 |
| M11 | Bragantino · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.04 |
| M12 | Goias · Home27 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −2.02 |
| M13 | Palmeiras · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −2.61 |
| M14 | Athletico-PR · Away8 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.65 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Home12 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.26 |
| M16 | Fluminense · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −1.30 |
| M17 | Coritiba · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | −0.04 |
| M18 | Botafogo RJ · Away31 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.25 |
| M19 | Sport Recife · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −1.06 |
| M20 | Gremio · Away14 Nov 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.90 |
| M21 | Atletico-MG · Home22 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −2.21 |
| M22 | Sao Paulo · Home25 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.42 |
| M23 | Vasco · Away30 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.87 |
| M24 | Bahia · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.81 |
| M25 | Atletico GO · Home13 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −0.92 |
| M26 | Fortaleza · Away20 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.71 |
| M27 | Santos · Away27 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.64 |
| M28 | Internacional · Home7 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.66 |
| M29 | Flamengo RJ · Away10 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.44 | +1.78 |
| M30 | Bragantino · Home17 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.46 |
| M31 | Goias · Away21 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.87 |
| M32 | Palmeiras · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.38 |
| M33 | Athletico-PR · Home31 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +1.76 |
| M34 | Corinthians · Away4 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.74 |
| M35 | Sao Paulo · Away11 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.91 |
| M36 | Fluminense · Home15 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.54 |
| M37 | Coritiba · Away20 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.84 |
| M38 | Botafogo RJ · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.04 |
| Total | 52 | +2.04 | |||