Points
51Points expected by the market
50.28Gap
+0.72Yield
−14.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.78 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.68 | −5.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 24 | +0.47 | −12.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −2.20 | −30.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.78 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.68 | −5.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.59 | −8.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −1.03 | +4.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.12 | −14.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.17 | −49.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico-MG · Away12 Aug 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.00 |
| M2 | Gremio · Away15 Aug 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.81 |
| M3 | Coritiba · Home20 Aug 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.35 |
| M4 | Fortaleza · Home27 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −0.42 |
| M5 | Sao Paulo · Away30 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.55 |
| M6 | Goias · Away2 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.08 |
| M7 | Botafogo RJ · Home5 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.94 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Home10 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.01 |
| M9 | Fluminense · Away13 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.16 |
| M10 | Bahia · Home17 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.74 |
| M11 | Sport Recife · Away24 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.06 |
| M12 | Atletico GO · Home1 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.61 |
| M13 | Bragantino · Away4 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −3.71 |
| M14 | Santos · Home7 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −4.28 |
| M15 | Ceara · Away12 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −5.36 |
| M16 | Athletico-PR · Away15 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −3.48 |
| M17 | Flamengo RJ · Home18 Oct 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.45 |
| M18 | Vasco · Away22 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.75 |
| M19 | Internacional · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −0.92 |
| M20 | Atletico GO · Away8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.12 |
| M21 | Atletico-MG · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.14 |
| M22 | Gremio · Home22 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.30 |
| M23 | Coritiba · Away26 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.71 |
| M24 | Fortaleza · Away3 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.89 |
| M25 | Sao Paulo · Home13 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +1.15 |
| M26 | Goias · Home21 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +1.93 |
| M27 | Botafogo RJ · Away27 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.50 |
| M28 | Fluminense · Home14 Jan 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.83 |
| M29 | Palmeiras · Away18 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.06 | +3.77 |
| M30 | Sport Recife · Home22 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.79 |
| M31 | Bragantino · Home25 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +3.40 |
| M32 | Bahia · Away28 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +2.22 |
| M33 | Ceara · Home4 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +3.53 |
| M34 | Athletico-PR · Home11 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.72 | +2.81 |
| M35 | Flamengo RJ · Away14 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.49 | +2.32 |
| M36 | Santos · Away17 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.14 |
| M37 | Vasco · Home21 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | +0.34 |
| M38 | Internacional · Away26 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.72 |
| Total | 51 | +0.72 | |||