Points
71Points expected by the market
73.89Gap
−2.89Yield
−12.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 32 | −4.15 | −16.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 31 | −0.60 | −8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.29 | +14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.56 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 26 | −3.44 | −18.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | −0.30 | −15.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.71 | −9.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | −0.30 | −4.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.29 | +14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.56 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico-MG · Home9 Aug 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.13 | −2.13 |
| M2 | Atletico GO · Away13 Aug 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.17 | −4.30 |
| M3 | Coritiba · Away15 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −3.25 |
| M4 | Gremio · Home19 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −3.93 |
| M5 | Botafogo RJ · Home23 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | −5.20 |
| M6 | Santos · Away30 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.83 |
| M7 | Bahia · Away3 Sep 2020 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.37 |
| M8 | Fortaleza · Home5 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −1.54 |
| M9 | Fluminense · Away10 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −0.52 |
| M10 | Ceara · Away13 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −2.17 |
| M11 | Palmeiras · Away27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.56 | −1.60 |
| M12 | Athletico-PR · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | −0.71 |
| M13 | Sport Recife · Home7 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.07 |
| M14 | Vasco · Away10 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.15 |
| M15 | Goias · Home13 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +1.71 |
| M16 | Bragantino · Home16 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +0.69 |
| M17 | Corinthians · Away18 Oct 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.92 |
| M18 | Internacional · Away25 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +1.52 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.80 | −0.28 |
| M20 | Atletico-MG · Away8 Nov 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.54 |
| M21 | Atletico GO · Home15 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.14 | −2.68 |
| M22 | Coritiba · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.73 | −1.96 |
| M23 | Botafogo RJ · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −1.02 |
| M24 | Santos · Home13 Dec 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.64 | −0.39 |
| M25 | Bahia · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.66 | +0.28 |
| M26 | Fortaleza · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.61 |
| M27 | Fluminense · Home7 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.15 | −2.77 |
| M28 | Ceara · Home10 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.25 | −5.02 |
| M29 | Goias · Away18 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −4.27 |
| M30 | Palmeiras · Home21 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −2.93 |
| M31 | Athletico-PR · Away24 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | −4.87 |
| M32 | Gremio · Away28 Jan 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.49 | −3.38 |
| M33 | Sport Recife · Away1 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −2.67 |
| M34 | Vasco · Home5 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −2.03 |
| M35 | Bragantino · Away7 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −2.61 |
| M36 | Corinthians · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.67 | −1.94 |
| M37 | Internacional · Home21 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.97 |
| M38 | Sao Paulo · Away26 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −2.89 |
| Total | 71 | −2.89 | |||