← Brasileirão 2020

Fortaleza

Season 2020 · 38 matches played

Last 5WWLLL

Points

41

Points expected by the market

47.60

Gap

−6.60

Yield

−31.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 7 14 12.60 +1.40 +6.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 16 16 21.56 −5.56 −29.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 15 11 13.44 −2.44 −49.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Athletico-PR · Home8 Aug 2020 8 Aug 2020 L 0-2 2.02 1.68 0 −1.68 −1.68 −€1.00
M2 Sao Paulo · Away13 Aug 2020 13 Aug 2020 L 0-1 6.34 0.70 0 −0.70 −2.38 −€1.00
M3 Botafogo RJ · Home16 Aug 2020 16 Aug 2020 D 0-0 2.01 1.70 1 −0.70 −3.08 −€1.00
M4 Goias · Away20 Aug 2020 20 Aug 2020 W 3-1 2.81 1.32 3 +1.68 −1.39 +€1.81
M5 Corinthians · Away27 Aug 2020 27 Aug 2020 D 1-1 4.35 0.94 1 +0.06 −1.33 −€1.00
M6 Bragantino · Home30 Aug 2020 30 Aug 2020 W 3-0 2.30 1.52 3 +1.48 +0.15 +€1.30
M7 Ceara · Away2 Sep 2020 2 Sep 2020 L 0-1 2.99 1.26 0 −1.26 −1.11 −€1.00
M8 Flamengo RJ · Away5 Sep 2020 5 Sep 2020 L 1-2 7.11 0.61 0 −0.61 −1.72 −€1.00
M9 Sport Recife · Home9 Sep 2020 9 Sep 2020 W 1-0 1.95 1.73 3 +1.27 −0.46 +€0.95
M10 Gremio · Away13 Sep 2020 13 Sep 2020 D 1-1 6.18 0.71 1 +0.29 −0.17 −€1.00
M11 Internacional · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 W 1-0 2.88 1.31 3 +1.69 +1.52 +€1.88
M12 Santos · Away28 Sep 2020 28 Sep 2020 D 1-1 3.63 1.06 1 −0.06 +1.46 −€1.00
M13 Atletico GO · Home4 Oct 2020 4 Oct 2020 D 0-0 2.36 1.51 1 −0.51 +0.94 −€1.00
M14 Atletico-MG · Home8 Oct 2020 8 Oct 2020 W 2-1 3.99 0.97 3 +2.03 +2.97 +€2.99
M15 Coritiba · Away10 Oct 2020 10 Oct 2020 D 0-0 2.84 1.32 1 −0.32 +2.66 −€1.00
M16 Palmeiras · Home19 Oct 2020 19 Oct 2020 W 2-0 3.23 1.19 3 +1.81 +4.47 +€2.23
M17 Fluminense · Home1 Nov 2020 1 Nov 2020 L 0-1 2.26 1.56 0 −1.56 +2.91 −€1.00
M18 Athletico-PR · Away7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 L 1-2 3.76 1.06 0 −1.06 +1.84 −€1.00
M19 Bahia · Away11 Nov 2020 11 Nov 2020 L 1-2 3.34 1.16 0 −1.16 +0.68 −€1.00
M20 Sao Paulo · Home14 Nov 2020 14 Nov 2020 L 2-3 3.02 1.24 0 −1.24 −0.55 −€1.00
M21 Vasco · Away19 Nov 2020 19 Nov 2020 D 0-0 3.31 1.16 1 −0.16 −0.72 −€1.00
M22 Botafogo RJ · Away22 Nov 2020 22 Nov 2020 W 2-1 3.57 1.10 3 +1.90 +1.19 +€2.57
M23 Goias · Home26 Nov 2020 26 Nov 2020 D 1-1 1.64 1.97 1 −0.97 +0.22 −€1.00
M24 Corinthians · Home3 Dec 2020 3 Dec 2020 D 0-0 2.36 1.51 1 −0.51 −0.29 −€1.00
M25 Bragantino · Away12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 L 1-2 4.71 0.87 0 −0.87 −1.17 −€1.00
M26 Ceara · Home20 Dec 2020 20 Dec 2020 L 0-2 2.83 1.32 0 −1.32 −2.48 −€1.00
M27 Flamengo RJ · Home26 Dec 2020 26 Dec 2020 D 0-0 4.67 0.86 1 +0.14 −2.34 −€1.00
M28 Sport Recife · Away6 Jan 2021 6 Jan 2021 L 0-1 2.55 1.43 0 −1.43 −3.77 −€1.00
M29 Gremio · Home10 Jan 2021 10 Jan 2021 D 0-0 3.50 1.12 1 −0.12 −3.89 −€1.00
M30 Internacional · Away17 Jan 2021 17 Jan 2021 L 2-4 4.63 0.91 0 −0.91 −4.80 −€1.00
M31 Santos · Home21 Jan 2021 21 Jan 2021 W 2-0 1.93 1.75 3 +1.25 −3.56 +€0.93
M32 Atletico GO · Away24 Jan 2021 24 Jan 2021 L 0-2 3.26 1.18 0 −1.18 −4.73 −€1.00
M33 Atletico-MG · Away31 Jan 2021 31 Jan 2021 L 0-2 6.86 0.63 0 −0.63 −5.36 −€1.00
M34 Coritiba · Home4 Feb 2021 4 Feb 2021 W 3-1 1.56 2.05 3 +0.95 −4.41 +€0.56
M35 Vasco · Home10 Feb 2021 10 Feb 2021 W 3-0 2.01 1.72 3 +1.28 −3.13 +€1.01
M36 Palmeiras · Away14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 L 0-3 3.67 1.06 0 −1.06 −4.19 −€1.00
M37 Bahia · Home21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 L 0-4 2.21 1.58 0 −1.58 −5.77 −€1.00
M38 Fluminense · Away26 Feb 2021 26 Feb 2021 L 0-2 5.09 0.83 0 −0.83 −6.60 −€1.00
Total 47.60 41 −6.60 −€11.77