Points
37Points expected by the market
32.91Gap
+4.09Yield
+5.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.18 | +80.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.45 | −39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 28 | 26 | +6.36 | +17.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.18 | +80.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.45 | −39.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 12 | +4.87 | +75.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 14 | +1.49 | −10.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Athletico-PR · Away12 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −0.45 |
| M2 | Palmeiras · Away16 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.20 |
| M3 | Fortaleza · Home20 Aug 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.16 |
| M4 | Atletico GO · Home23 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.56 |
| M5 | Corinthians · Home2 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.60 |
| M6 | Sport Recife · Away7 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.54 |
| M7 | Coritiba · Home9 Sep 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | −1.97 |
| M8 | Internacional · Home13 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +0.09 |
| M9 | Ceara · Away27 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.32 |
| M10 | Santos · Home4 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.96 |
| M11 | Fluminense · Home8 Oct 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.08 |
| M12 | Atletico-MG · Away11 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | −2.53 |
| M13 | Flamengo RJ · Away13 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −2.94 |
| M14 | Bahia · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.96 |
| M15 | Botafogo RJ · Away20 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.28 | −2.67 |
| M16 | Bragantino · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −3.27 |
| M17 | Vasco · Home1 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −3.56 |
| M18 | Sao Paulo · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −4.05 |
| M19 | Athletico-PR · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.98 |
| M20 | Palmeiras · Home22 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −2.88 |
| M21 | Fortaleza · Away26 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −2.66 |
| M22 | Gremio · Away30 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −3.09 |
| M23 | Sao Paulo · Home3 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −3.63 |
| M24 | Atletico GO · Away7 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | −1.39 |
| M25 | Gremio · Home13 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −1.14 |
| M26 | Corinthians · Away21 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −1.71 |
| M27 | Sport Recife · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.10 |
| M28 | Coritiba · Away6 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.80 |
| M29 | Internacional · Away10 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | +1.19 |
| M30 | Flamengo RJ · Home18 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +0.62 |
| M31 | Ceara · Home21 Jan 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.50 |
| M32 | Santos · Away24 Jan 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.46 | +1.96 |
| M33 | Fluminense · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.12 |
| M34 | Atletico-MG · Home4 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.40 | +3.52 |
| M35 | Bahia · Away6 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.22 | +3.74 |
| M36 | Botafogo RJ · Home13 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.92 |
| M37 | Bragantino · Home21 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +5.02 |
| M38 | Vasco · Away26 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +4.09 |
| Total | 37 | +4.09 | |||