Points
59Points expected by the market
62.88Gap
−3.88Yield
−30.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.92 | +13.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 32 | +2.16 | −10.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −5.21 | −52.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.76 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.92 | +13.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +3.94 | +19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −4.19 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.77 | −48.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −1.02 | −22.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.76 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fluminense · Home9 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +0.97 |
| M2 | Ceara · Away13 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.69 |
| M3 | Corinthians · Home15 Aug 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | −0.21 |
| M4 | Flamengo RJ · Away19 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.22 |
| M5 | Vasco · Away23 Aug 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.88 |
| M6 | Sport Recife · Home3 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.25 | −3.13 |
| M7 | Atletico GO · Away6 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −3.98 |
| M8 | Bahia · Away10 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.61 |
| M9 | Fortaleza · Home13 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −3.64 |
| M10 | Palmeiras · Home20 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −4.09 |
| M11 | Atletico-MG · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.94 |
| M12 | Internacional · Home3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −5.47 |
| M13 | Coritiba · Home7 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | −4.58 |
| M14 | Santos · Away11 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −6.10 |
| M15 | Botafogo RJ · Home14 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.86 | −5.24 |
| M16 | Sao Paulo · Away18 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −5.29 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Away25 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.46 |
| M18 | Bragantino · Home2 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.16 |
| M19 | Fluminense · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.46 |
| M20 | Ceara · Home14 Nov 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.65 |
| M21 | Corinthians · Away22 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.12 |
| M22 | Goias · Home30 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +0.73 |
| M23 | Vasco · Home6 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +1.60 |
| M24 | Goias · Away13 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +0.59 |
| M25 | Sport Recife · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −0.22 |
| M26 | Atletico GO · Home27 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.08 |
| M27 | Bahia · Home6 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +1.91 |
| M28 | Fortaleza · Away10 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +1.34 |
| M29 | Palmeiras · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.02 |
| M30 | Atletico-MG · Home20 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.59 |
| M31 | Internacional · Away24 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.74 |
| M32 | Flamengo RJ · Home28 Jan 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.95 |
| M33 | Coritiba · Away31 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.67 |
| M34 | Santos · Home3 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.93 | −3.60 |
| M35 | Botafogo RJ · Away8 Feb 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.90 | −2.70 |
| M36 | Sao Paulo · Home14 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −4.27 |
| M37 | Athletico-PR · Home21 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −3.04 |
| M38 | Bragantino · Away26 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.88 |
| Total | 59 | −3.88 | |||