Points
70Points expected by the market
60.48Gap
+9.52Yield
+15.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.58 | −26.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 29 | +3.40 | +17.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 29 | +6.24 | +28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.46 | −2.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 7 | −1.58 | −26.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +3.02 | +17.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +5.36 | +66.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.38 | +18.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +0.88 | +5.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.46 | −2.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Coritiba · Away8 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.36 |
| M2 | Santos · Home13 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.55 |
| M3 | Fluminense · Away16 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.97 |
| M4 | Atletico GO · Home20 Aug 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +2.08 |
| M5 | Atletico-MG · Home22 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.54 |
| M6 | Botafogo RJ · Away29 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +4.71 |
| M7 | Palmeiras · Away3 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +4.77 |
| M8 | Bahia · Home6 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.06 | +3.71 |
| M9 | Ceara · Home10 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +4.76 |
| M10 | Goias · Away13 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +2.98 |
| M11 | Fortaleza · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.62 |
| M12 | Sao Paulo · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +1.10 |
| M13 | Gremio · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.95 |
| M14 | Bragantino · Away9 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +2.57 |
| M15 | Athletico-PR · Home12 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.69 |
| M16 | Sport Recife · Away15 Oct 2020 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.27 | +4.96 |
| M17 | Vasco · Home18 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +5.84 |
| M18 | Flamengo RJ · Home25 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +5.54 |
| M19 | Corinthians · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +4.02 |
| M20 | Coritiba · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | +3.12 |
| M21 | Santos · Away14 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +1.48 |
| M22 | Fluminense · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −0.23 |
| M23 | Atletico GO · Away29 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.68 |
| M24 | Atletico-MG · Away6 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.53 |
| M25 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +0.47 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.10 |
| M27 | Bahia · Away27 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.80 |
| M28 | Ceara · Away7 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.42 |
| M29 | Goias · Home10 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +6.27 |
| M30 | Fortaleza · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.22 | +7.49 |
| M31 | Sao Paulo · Away21 Jan 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +9.47 |
| M32 | Gremio · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +11.13 |
| M33 | Bragantino · Home31 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +12.56 |
| M34 | Athletico-PR · Away5 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +12.07 |
| M35 | Sport Recife · Home10 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.14 | +9.94 |
| M36 | Vasco · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +11.42 |
| M37 | Flamengo RJ · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +10.69 |
| M38 | Corinthians · Home26 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | +9.52 |
| Total | 70 | +9.52 | |||