Points
58Points expected by the market
63.88Gap
−5.88Yield
−20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 7 | −4.39 | −71.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 35 | +1.03 | +2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −1.83 | −29.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 7 | −4.39 | −71.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +3.99 | +20.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.26 | −20.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.96 | −23.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.56 | −31.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fluminense · Away13 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −0.80 |
| M2 | Goias · Home16 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.51 | −2.31 |
| M3 | Athletico-PR · Away19 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.86 |
| M4 | Santos · Home23 Aug 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.40 |
| M5 | Bahia · Away29 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.27 |
| M6 | Internacional · Home3 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.03 |
| M7 | Bragantino · Away6 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.46 |
| M8 | Corinthians · Away10 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.86 |
| M9 | Sport Recife · Home13 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.19 | +0.67 |
| M10 | Gremio · Away20 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.45 |
| M11 | Flamengo RJ · Home27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.39 | −0.94 |
| M12 | Ceara · Home3 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.81 | −0.13 |
| M13 | Botafogo RJ · Away8 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.82 |
| M14 | Sao Paulo · Home10 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −3.25 |
| M15 | Coritiba · Home14 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.11 | −5.37 |
| M16 | Fortaleza · Away19 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −6.86 |
| M17 | Atletico GO · Away25 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −5.47 |
| M18 | Atletico-MG · Home2 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −3.94 |
| M19 | Vasco · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −2.69 |
| M20 | Fluminense · Home15 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −1.39 |
| M21 | Goias · Away22 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | −3.22 |
| M22 | Athletico-PR · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −2.15 |
| M23 | Santos · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −2.65 |
| M24 | Bahia · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −1.67 |
| M25 | Internacional · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.97 |
| M26 | Bragantino · Home27 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −1.76 |
| M27 | Sport Recife · Away9 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.44 |
| M28 | Gremio · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.80 |
| M29 | Corinthians · Home18 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.56 |
| M30 | Flamengo RJ · Away21 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.51 |
| M31 | Ceara · Away24 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.72 |
| M32 | Vasco · Home26 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −2.38 |
| M33 | Botafogo RJ · Home2 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | −3.49 |
| M34 | Fortaleza · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.13 |
| M35 | Coritiba · Away17 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | −4.05 |
| M36 | Sao Paulo · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.16 |
| M37 | Atletico GO · Home22 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −5.19 |
| M38 | Atletico-MG · Away26 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −5.88 |
| Total | 58 | −5.88 | |||