Points
54Points expected by the market
48.49Gap
+5.51Yield
+9.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.60 | −34.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.75 | −29.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 25 | +4.30 | −0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 13 | +3.56 | +57.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.60 | −34.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.75 | −29.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.88 | +14.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.01 | +290.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +1.42 | −12.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −0.45 | +10.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bragantino · Home9 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.59 |
| M2 | Internacional · Away13 Aug 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −1.49 |
| M3 | Athletico-PR · Home16 Aug 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.04 |
| M4 | Sport Recife · Away20 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.78 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Away23 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.82 |
| M6 | Flamengo RJ · Home30 Aug 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.26 |
| M7 | Vasco · Home3 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | −1.18 |
| M8 | Ceara · Away6 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +0.79 |
| M9 | Atletico-MG · Home10 Sep 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.09 | +2.87 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Home12 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | +2.70 |
| M11 | Botafogo RJ · Away20 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.33 |
| M12 | Fortaleza · Home28 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.67 |
| M13 | Goias · Away4 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.24 |
| M14 | Corinthians · Away7 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +3.10 |
| M15 | Gremio · Home11 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +4.94 |
| M16 | Atletico GO · Home15 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | +3.35 |
| M17 | Coritiba · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +4.92 |
| M18 | Fluminense · Away25 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | +3.70 |
| M19 | Bahia · Home1 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.07 |
| M20 | Bragantino · Away8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +4.92 |
| M21 | Internacional · Home14 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +6.85 |
| M22 | Athletico-PR · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | +6.17 |
| M23 | Sport Recife · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.06 | +7.23 |
| M24 | Palmeiras · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | +7.03 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Away13 Dec 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.47 | +6.56 |
| M26 | Vasco · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +5.24 |
| M27 | Ceara · Home27 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +4.59 |
| M28 | Sao Paulo · Away10 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.39 | +6.98 |
| M29 | Botafogo RJ · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +8.19 |
| M30 | Fortaleza · Away21 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +7.24 |
| M31 | Goias · Home24 Jan 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.27 | +4.97 |
| M32 | Atletico-MG · Away26 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +4.62 |
| M33 | Gremio · Away3 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.19 | +4.81 |
| M34 | Atletico GO · Away7 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +4.55 |
| M35 | Coritiba · Home13 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +5.22 |
| M36 | Corinthians · Home17 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +6.70 |
| M37 | Fluminense · Home21 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +6.20 |
| M38 | Bahia · Away26 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +5.51 |
| Total | 54 | +5.51 | |||