Points
66Points expected by the market
64.59Gap
+1.41Yield
+8.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 14 | −4.02 | −31.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 25 | −3.27 | −30.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +5.47 | +42.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.22 | +198.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −2.50 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.95 | −29.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.96 | +130.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.16 | +371.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.52 | −32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.32 | −32.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.51 | +22.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.06 | +111.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortaleza · Home13 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.96 |
| M2 | Vasco · Away16 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.53 |
| M3 | Bahia · Home21 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −1.42 |
| M4 | Sport Recife · Away23 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.04 |
| M5 | Athletico-PR · Home26 Aug 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.32 |
| M6 | Corinthians · Home30 Aug 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.76 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Away4 Sep 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.75 |
| M8 | Fluminense · Home6 Sep 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +2.96 |
| M9 | Bragantino · Home9 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +2.29 |
| M10 | Santos · Away12 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.76 |
| M11 | Internacional · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.59 |
| M12 | Coritiba · Away4 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +0.73 |
| M13 | Atletico GO · Home8 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.75 |
| M14 | Palmeiras · Away10 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.50 |
| M15 | Gremio · Home18 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.86 |
| M16 | Flamengo RJ · Away1 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +4.93 |
| M17 | Goias · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +5.60 |
| M18 | Fortaleza · Away14 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | +7.14 |
| M19 | Vasco · Home22 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +5.88 |
| M20 | Ceara · Away25 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +5.39 |
| M21 | Bahia · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +6.79 |
| M22 | Goias · Away3 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +7.52 |
| M23 | Sport Recife · Home6 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +8.22 |
| M24 | Botafogo RJ · Home10 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +9.07 |
| M25 | Corinthians · Away13 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | +7.32 |
| M26 | Atletico-MG · Home17 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +8.84 |
| M27 | Fluminense · Away27 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +10.05 |
| M28 | Bragantino · Away7 Jan 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.42 | +8.62 |
| M29 | Santos · Home10 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.16 | +6.46 |
| M30 | Athletico-PR · Away17 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +5.86 |
| M31 | Internacional · Home21 Jan 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.70 | +4.16 |
| M32 | Coritiba · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.30 | +2.87 |
| M33 | Atletico GO · Away31 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +1.16 |
| M34 | Ceara · Home11 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.24 |
| M35 | Gremio · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.09 |
| M36 | Palmeiras · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +1.50 |
| M37 | Botafogo RJ · Away22 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.25 | −0.76 |
| M38 | Flamengo RJ · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | +1.41 |
| Total | 66 | +1.41 | |||