Points
41Points expected by the market
43.07Gap
−2.07Yield
−25.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.97 | −1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +2.98 | +7.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 12 | −4.08 | −56.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.97 | −1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.07 | −7.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.28 | +9.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.92 | +45.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −4.36 | −73.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sport Recife · Home14 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Sao Paulo · Home16 Aug 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.14 |
| M3 | Ceara · Away21 Aug 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +5.11 |
| M4 | Gremio · Home23 Aug 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +5.07 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Away29 Aug 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +3.95 |
| M6 | Santos · Away3 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +4.12 |
| M7 | Athletico-PR · Home6 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +5.60 |
| M8 | Atletico GO · Home11 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +3.98 |
| M9 | Botafogo RJ · Away14 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | +5.71 |
| M10 | Coritiba · Away20 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +4.64 |
| M11 | Bragantino · Home27 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +4.47 |
| M12 | Atletico-MG · Away5 Oct 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.52 | +3.95 |
| M13 | Bahia · Away7 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.06 |
| M14 | Flamengo RJ · Home10 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.24 |
| M15 | Internacional · Away18 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +1.59 |
| M16 | Corinthians · Home22 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.22 |
| M17 | Goias · Away1 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.18 |
| M18 | Palmeiras · Home8 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.14 |
| M19 | Sport Recife · Away14 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +0.57 |
| M20 | Fortaleza · Home19 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.05 |
| M21 | Sao Paulo · Away22 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.51 |
| M22 | Ceara · Home30 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.73 |
| M23 | Gremio · Away6 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −1.36 |
| M24 | Fluminense · Home13 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −1.60 |
| M25 | Santos · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.03 |
| M26 | Athletico-PR · Away27 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.92 |
| M27 | Atletico GO · Away8 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.97 |
| M28 | Botafogo RJ · Home10 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.45 |
| M29 | Coritiba · Home17 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.90 | −1.45 |
| M30 | Bragantino · Away21 Jan 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −2.24 |
| M31 | Atletico-MG · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.10 | −0.14 |
| M32 | Palmeiras · Away26 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.19 |
| M33 | Bahia · Home31 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.73 |
| M34 | Flamengo RJ · Away5 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −1.20 |
| M35 | Fortaleza · Away10 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.16 |
| M36 | Internacional · Home14 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.33 |
| M37 | Corinthians · Away21 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −3.26 |
| M38 | Goias · Home26 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | −2.07 |
| Total | 41 | −2.07 | |||