Points
53Points expected by the market
50.69Gap
+2.31Yield
−15.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.59 | +27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.47 | −38.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 27 | +9.43 | +62.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −4.24 | −73.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.59 | +27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.87 | −31.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 16 | +6.26 | +81.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +3.17 | +40.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −3.21 | −69.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Athletico-PR · Away30 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.21 |
| M2 | Corinthians · Home6 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −2.85 |
| M3 | Flamengo RJ · Away13 Jun 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −3.50 |
| M4 | Cuiaba · Home17 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −4.24 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Away20 Jun 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.95 |
| M6 | Juventude · Home24 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −5.84 |
| M7 | Internacional · Home28 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −6.18 |
| M8 | Bahia · Away30 Jun 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.93 | −4.25 |
| M9 | Santos · Home3 Jul 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −2.83 |
| M10 | Fortaleza · Away7 Jul 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.73 |
| M11 | Atletico-MG · Home10 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −4.73 |
| M12 | Sport Recife · Home20 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.90 | −6.63 |
| M13 | Gremio · Away24 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −6.58 |
| M14 | Atletico GO · Away2 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −6.82 |
| M15 | Fluminense · Home8 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −5.13 |
| M16 | Chapecoense-SC · Away17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −5.74 |
| M17 | Bragantino · Home24 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −6.96 |
| M18 | Ceara · Home29 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −5.40 |
| M19 | Athletico-PR · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −3.88 |
| M20 | Corinthians · Away19 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −3.87 |
| M21 | Sao Paulo · Away23 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.89 |
| M22 | Flamengo RJ · Home26 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.93 |
| M23 | Cuiaba · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.30 |
| M24 | Palmeiras · Home7 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.66 |
| M25 | Juventude · Away10 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.05 |
| M26 | Internacional · Away14 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.03 |
| M27 | Bahia · Home17 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −2.72 |
| M28 | Santos · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.91 |
| M29 | Fortaleza · Home31 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.45 |
| M30 | Atletico-MG · Away7 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −0.32 |
| M31 | Sport Recife · Away11 Nov 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.26 |
| M32 | Gremio · Home13 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.61 |
| M33 | Atletico GO · Home17 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +1.60 |
| M34 | Fluminense · Away21 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.50 |
| M35 | Bragantino · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.51 |
| M36 | Chapecoense-SC · Home1 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +1.11 |
| M37 | Ceara · Away5 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.03 |
| M38 | Sao Paulo · Home10 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.31 |
| Total | 53 | +2.31 | |||