Points
47Points expected by the market
50.28Gap
−3.28Yield
−8.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.36 | −2.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +1.39 | +19.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −3.11 | −35.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.21 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.36 | +7.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.03 | −0.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.67 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.36 | +46.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −2.44 | −30.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | America MG · Home30 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Juventude · Away6 Jun 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.16 |
| M3 | Gremio · Away13 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +5.28 |
| M4 | Atletico GO · Home20 Jun 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +6.57 |
| M5 | Bahia · Away25 Jun 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +5.31 |
| M6 | Chapecoense-SC · Home28 Jun 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | +4.24 |
| M7 | Fluminense · Away30 Jun 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +6.04 |
| M8 | Fortaleza · Home3 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +7.39 |
| M9 | Santos · Away6 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +6.09 |
| M10 | Bragantino · Home10 Jul 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +5.68 |
| M11 | Ceara · Away17 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +4.66 |
| M12 | Internacional · Home25 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +6.21 |
| M13 | Atletico-MG · Away1 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +5.42 |
| M14 | Sao Paulo · Home7 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +4.10 |
| M15 | Cuiaba · Away15 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +3.00 |
| M16 | Corinthians · Home22 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +1.55 |
| M17 | Palmeiras · Away29 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.76 |
| M18 | Sport Recife · Home5 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | −0.21 |
| M19 | America MG · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.43 |
| M20 | Juventude · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.10 |
| M21 | Gremio · Home26 Sep 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.66 |
| M22 | Flamengo RJ · Away3 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | +1.29 |
| M23 | Atletico GO · Away6 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +2.99 |
| M24 | Bahia · Home9 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.95 | +1.04 |
| M25 | Chapecoense-SC · Away13 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +0.33 |
| M26 | Fluminense · Home17 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.13 |
| M27 | Fortaleza · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −1.82 |
| M28 | Santos · Home30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | −3.66 |
| M29 | Flamengo RJ · Home2 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −3.82 |
| M30 | Bragantino · Away7 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −1.90 |
| M31 | Ceara · Home10 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.74 |
| M32 | Internacional · Away13 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.80 |
| M33 | Atletico-MG · Home16 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.47 |
| M34 | Sao Paulo · Away25 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −2.35 |
| M35 | Corinthians · Away28 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.33 |
| M36 | Cuiaba · Home3 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −2.26 |
| M37 | Palmeiras · Home6 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.21 | −3.46 |
| M38 | Sport Recife · Away10 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −3.28 |
| Total | 47 | −3.28 | |||