Points
53Points expected by the market
43.90Gap
+9.10Yield
+34.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.41 | −36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.68 | −18.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 25 | +10.19 | +98.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.77 | −65.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +1.98 | +4.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.12 | +63.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +111.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.65 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 21 | +9.07 | +105.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Corinthians · Away30 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.99 |
| M2 | Sao Paulo · Home5 Jun 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.82 |
| M3 | Fortaleza · Home17 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +3.36 |
| M4 | Athletico-PR · Away20 Jun 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.39 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Home23 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.05 |
| M6 | Bragantino · Home29 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +2.91 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Away1 Jul 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.08 |
| M8 | Gremio · Away5 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.32 | +4.40 |
| M9 | Sport Recife · Home7 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +3.63 |
| M10 | Juventude · Away11 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.40 |
| M11 | Palmeiras · Home18 Jul 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.43 |
| M12 | Cuiaba · Away21 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.19 |
| M13 | Santos · Away25 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +3.32 |
| M14 | America MG · Home2 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +2.88 |
| M15 | Ceara · Away8 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | +3.03 |
| M16 | Bahia · Away15 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +4.99 |
| M17 | Chapecoense-SC · Home21 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | +4.17 |
| M18 | Internacional · Home29 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +4.11 |
| M19 | Corinthians · Home12 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.85 |
| M20 | Sao Paulo · Away19 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | +3.15 |
| M21 | Cuiaba · Home27 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.62 |
| M22 | Fortaleza · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +4.88 |
| M23 | Athletico-PR · Home6 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +3.50 |
| M24 | Fluminense · Away9 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +3.57 |
| M25 | Bragantino · Away12 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.73 |
| M26 | Atletico-MG · Home17 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +4.87 |
| M27 | Gremio · Home26 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +6.55 |
| M28 | Sport Recife · Away31 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +5.36 |
| M29 | Flamengo RJ · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.51 | +4.85 |
| M30 | Palmeiras · Away10 Nov 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.52 | +4.33 |
| M31 | Santos · Home13 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +3.68 |
| M32 | America MG · Away17 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | +3.94 |
| M33 | Ceara · Home21 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +3.39 |
| M34 | Juventude · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.75 |
| M35 | Bahia · Home29 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.32 |
| M36 | Chapecoense-SC · Away3 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +5.68 |
| M37 | Internacional · Away6 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.30 | +7.99 |
| M38 | Flamengo RJ · Home10 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +9.10 |
| Total | 53 | +9.10 | |||