Points
84Points expected by the market
69.09Gap
+14.91Yield
+26.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 23 | +0.38 | −4.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 48 | +13.23 | +43.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.01 | +38.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 22 | +1.54 | +6.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 27 | +10.09 | +77.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.76 | +198.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +3.13 | +13.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.25 | +16.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortaleza · Home30 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.14 | −2.14 |
| M2 | Sport Recife · Away7 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.91 |
| M3 | Sao Paulo · Home13 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.46 |
| M4 | Internacional · Away16 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.19 |
| M5 | Chapecoense-SC · Home22 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.37 | +0.81 |
| M6 | Ceara · Away24 Jun 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.73 |
| M7 | Santos · Away28 Jun 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.14 |
| M8 | Atletico GO · Home1 Jul 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −1.04 |
| M9 | Cuiaba · Away4 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.18 |
| M10 | Flamengo RJ · Home7 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.93 |
| M11 | America MG · Away10 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +3.22 |
| M12 | Corinthians · Away17 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.92 |
| M13 | Bahia · Home25 Jul 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.95 |
| M14 | Athletico-PR · Home1 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +7.00 |
| M15 | Juventude · Away8 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +8.32 |
| M16 | Palmeiras · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +9.66 |
| M17 | Fluminense · Away24 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +8.92 |
| M18 | Bragantino · Away30 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +8.28 |
| M19 | Fortaleza · Away12 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +9.78 |
| M20 | Sport Recife · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +10.35 |
| M21 | Sao Paulo · Away26 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +9.80 |
| M22 | Internacional · Home3 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +10.76 |
| M23 | Chapecoense-SC · Away6 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.15 | +9.61 |
| M24 | Ceara · Home9 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +10.48 |
| M25 | Santos · Home13 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +11.29 |
| M26 | Atletico GO · Away17 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.87 | +9.42 |
| M27 | Cuiaba · Home24 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | +10.03 |
| M28 | Flamengo RJ · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +8.87 |
| M29 | Gremio · Home4 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +9.67 |
| M30 | America MG · Home7 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +10.69 |
| M31 | Corinthians · Home10 Nov 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +11.61 |
| M32 | Athletico-PR · Away16 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +12.51 |
| M33 | Juventude · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +13.18 |
| M34 | Palmeiras · Away24 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | +12.32 |
| M35 | Fluminense · Home28 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +13.05 |
| M36 | Bahia · Away2 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.28 | +14.34 |
| M37 | Bragantino · Home5 Dec 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.28 | +15.62 |
| M38 | Gremio · Away10 Dec 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.71 | +14.91 |
| Total | 84 | +14.91 | |||