Points
43Points expected by the market
48.40Gap
−5.40Yield
−22.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.16 | −45.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 27 | +4.34 | +10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 5 | −6.43 | −59.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.16 | −45.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 18 | +5.55 | +49.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.79 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.21 | −33.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −4.65 | −52.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santos · Home30 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.51 |
| M2 | Bragantino · Away6 Jun 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.02 | +1.53 |
| M3 | Internacional · Home14 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.12 |
| M4 | Ceara · Away17 Jun 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.88 |
| M5 | Corinthians · Home20 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +1.36 |
| M6 | Athletico-PR · Home25 Jun 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.95 |
| M7 | Palmeiras · Away28 Jun 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.76 | +2.20 |
| M8 | America MG · Home30 Jun 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.63 | +0.56 |
| M9 | Chapecoense-SC · Away4 Jul 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.04 |
| M10 | Juventude · Home7 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +3.15 |
| M11 | Sao Paulo · Away10 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +2.20 |
| M12 | Flamengo RJ · Home18 Jul 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.80 | +1.40 |
| M13 | Atletico-MG · Away25 Jul 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.63 |
| M14 | Sport Recife · Home1 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | −1.18 |
| M15 | Cuiaba · Away8 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.40 |
| M16 | Atletico GO · Home15 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −3.07 |
| M17 | Gremio · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.04 |
| M18 | Fluminense · Away30 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −5.10 |
| M19 | Fortaleza · Home5 Sep 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.36 |
| M20 | Santos · Away12 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.53 |
| M21 | Bragantino · Home19 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.04 |
| M22 | Internacional · Away26 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.89 |
| M23 | Corinthians · Away6 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −5.63 |
| M24 | Athletico-PR · Away9 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −3.42 |
| M25 | Palmeiras · Home13 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.63 |
| M26 | America MG · Away17 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.65 |
| M27 | Chapecoense-SC · Home25 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −2.80 |
| M28 | Ceara · Home27 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.47 |
| M29 | Juventude · Away30 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −3.65 |
| M30 | Sao Paulo · Home7 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.91 |
| M31 | Flamengo RJ · Away11 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.66 |
| M32 | Sport Recife · Away19 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.01 |
| M33 | Cuiaba · Home21 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −4.82 |
| M34 | Gremio · Home26 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −3.22 |
| M35 | Atletico GO · Away29 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.47 |
| M36 | Atletico-MG · Home2 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.46 |
| M37 | Fluminense · Home5 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −4.14 |
| M38 | Fortaleza · Away10 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −5.40 |
| Total | 43 | −5.40 | |||