Points
57Points expected by the market
54.24Gap
+2.76Yield
−9.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 26 | +4.02 | +20.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 20 | −2.40 | −34.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +0.40 | −6.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 23 | +4.38 | +24.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.86 | −23.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.36 | −1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.54 | −42.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 8 | +1.24 | +6.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico GO · Home30 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.69 |
| M2 | America MG · Away6 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +0.26 |
| M3 | Palmeiras · Away12 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.32 |
| M4 | Bragantino · Home17 Jun 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.12 |
| M5 | Bahia · Away20 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.29 |
| M6 | Sport Recife · Home24 Jun 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −0.20 |
| M7 | Fluminense · Away27 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.40 |
| M8 | Sao Paulo · Home1 Jul 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.64 |
| M9 | Internacional · Home4 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.12 |
| M10 | Chapecoense-SC · Away9 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.15 |
| M11 | Fortaleza · Away12 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.99 |
| M12 | Atletico-MG · Home17 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.37 |
| M13 | Cuiaba · Away27 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.78 |
| M14 | Flamengo RJ · Home1 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.61 |
| M15 | Santos · Away8 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.91 |
| M16 | Ceara · Home15 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.48 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Away22 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.29 |
| M18 | Gremio · Away29 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +3.20 |
| M19 | Juventude · Home8 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +2.18 |
| M20 | Atletico GO · Away12 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.78 |
| M21 | America MG · Home19 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.07 |
| M22 | Palmeiras · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.85 |
| M23 | Bragantino · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.47 |
| M24 | Bahia · Home6 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.48 |
| M25 | Sport Recife · Away9 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +1.84 |
| M26 | Fluminense · Home14 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.09 |
| M27 | Sao Paulo · Away19 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.06 |
| M28 | Internacional · Away24 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.00 |
| M29 | Chapecoense-SC · Home2 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +2.74 |
| M30 | Fortaleza · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.88 |
| M31 | Atletico-MG · Away10 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +3.23 |
| M32 | Cuiaba · Home14 Nov 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +4.17 |
| M33 | Flamengo RJ · Away18 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +3.23 |
| M34 | Santos · Home21 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.32 |
| M35 | Ceara · Away25 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +3.13 |
| M36 | Athletico-PR · Home28 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +4.41 |
| M37 | Gremio · Home5 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +3.88 |
| M38 | Juventude · Away10 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.76 |
| Total | 57 | +2.76 | |||