Points
47Points expected by the market
42.19Gap
+4.81Yield
−19.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.24 | +28.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +4.36 | +11.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | −0.79 | −57.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.24 | +28.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.05 | −7.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.73 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +3.32 | +62.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 12 | +0.94 | −49.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juventude · Home29 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.58 |
| M2 | Fluminense · Away6 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.39 |
| M3 | America MG · Away17 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −1.34 |
| M4 | Sao Paulo · Away23 Jun 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | −1.00 |
| M5 | Sport Recife · Away28 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.14 |
| M6 | Flamengo RJ · Home2 Jul 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −1.86 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Home4 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.79 |
| M8 | Bragantino · Away7 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −2.53 |
| M9 | Ceara · Home11 Jul 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.85 |
| M10 | Chapecoense-SC · Away18 Jul 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.09 |
| M11 | Atletico GO · Home21 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.47 |
| M12 | Corinthians · Home27 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.78 |
| M13 | Internacional · Away1 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.56 |
| M14 | Bahia · Home8 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −1.03 |
| M15 | Athletico-PR · Home15 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.38 |
| M16 | Gremio · Home18 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.79 |
| M17 | Palmeiras · Away22 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.40 | +1.61 |
| M18 | Fortaleza · Away31 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.28 | +1.89 |
| M19 | Santos · Home5 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +3.49 |
| M20 | Juventude · Away11 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +5.33 |
| M21 | Fluminense · Home21 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +5.16 |
| M22 | Atletico GO · Away27 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +5.02 |
| M23 | America MG · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.71 |
| M24 | Gremio · Away7 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | +4.05 |
| M25 | Sao Paulo · Home12 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.97 |
| M26 | Sport Recife · Home14 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +5.31 |
| M27 | Flamengo RJ · Away18 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.57 | +5.88 |
| M28 | Atletico-MG · Away24 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | +5.45 |
| M29 | Bragantino · Home1 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +7.01 |
| M30 | Chapecoense-SC · Home5 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | +6.06 |
| M31 | Ceara · Away7 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +5.13 |
| M32 | Corinthians · Away14 Nov 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +4.45 |
| M33 | Internacional · Home17 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +6.04 |
| M34 | Bahia · Away21 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +6.14 |
| M35 | Palmeiras · Home1 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.90 | +4.24 |
| M36 | Athletico-PR · Away3 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | +3.46 |
| M37 | Fortaleza · Home6 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +4.81 |
| M38 | Santos · Away10 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +4.81 |
| Total | 47 | +4.81 | |||