Points
43Points expected by the market
58.32Gap
−15.32Yield
−24.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.35 | −26.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 23 | −6.54 | −35.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −5.21 | −30.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.22 | +14.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.35 | −26.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | −2.29 | −26.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | −0.51 | −8.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −4.25 | −61.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −4.70 | −41.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.22 | +14.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ceara · Away30 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.61 |
| M2 | Athletico-PR · Home13 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | −3.44 |
| M3 | Sport Recife · Away17 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | −5.25 |
| M4 | Santos · Home25 Jun 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | −5.94 |
| M5 | Fortaleza · Home28 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −6.68 |
| M6 | Juventude · Away1 Jul 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −8.45 |
| M7 | Atletico GO · Home5 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.08 | −10.54 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Away7 Jul 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −11.55 |
| M9 | Internacional · Home10 Jul 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −12.08 |
| M10 | Fluminense · Away18 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −10.37 |
| M11 | America MG · Home24 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −11.13 |
| M12 | Bragantino · Away1 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −12.15 |
| M13 | Chapecoense-SC · Home10 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −11.30 |
| M14 | Sao Paulo · Away15 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −12.46 |
| M15 | Cuiaba · Away18 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −10.99 |
| M16 | Bahia · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −9.74 |
| M17 | Corinthians · Home29 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −11.32 |
| M18 | Ceara · Home12 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −9.96 |
| M19 | Flamengo RJ · Away20 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.37 | −7.59 |
| M20 | Athletico-PR · Away26 Sep 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.44 | −9.03 |
| M21 | Sport Recife · Home4 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.20 | −11.22 |
| M22 | Cuiaba · Home7 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.09 | −12.31 |
| M23 | Santos · Away10 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −13.62 |
| M24 | Fortaleza · Away14 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −14.54 |
| M25 | Juventude · Home17 Oct 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | −13.45 |
| M26 | Atletico GO · Away26 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −14.81 |
| M27 | Palmeiras · Home31 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −16.09 |
| M28 | Atletico-MG · Away4 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −16.68 |
| M29 | Internacional · Away6 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −17.82 |
| M30 | Fluminense · Home10 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −16.34 |
| M31 | America MG · Away13 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −17.40 |
| M32 | Bragantino · Home16 Nov 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −16.46 |
| M33 | Chapecoense-SC · Away20 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | −15.52 |
| M34 | Flamengo RJ · Home24 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −16.18 |
| M35 | Bahia · Away26 Nov 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −17.48 |
| M36 | Sao Paulo · Home2 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −16.06 |
| M37 | Corinthians · Away5 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −16.25 |
| M38 | Atletico-MG · Home10 Dec 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.92 | −15.32 |
| Total | 43 | −15.32 | |||