Points
48Points expected by the market
56.39Gap
−8.39Yield
−23.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.55 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 30 | +2.92 | +3.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 11 | −8.70 | −66.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.06 | +16.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.55 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 23 | +0.94 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.70 | −42.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.98 | +36.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −6.01 | −74.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.04 | +39.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sport Recife · Home31 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | −1.33 |
| M2 | Fortaleza · Away6 Jun 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.62 |
| M3 | Bahia · Away14 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.92 |
| M4 | Atletico-MG · Home16 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.35 |
| M5 | Ceara · Home20 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | −3.30 |
| M6 | Chapecoense-SC · Away24 Jun 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −2.05 |
| M7 | America MG · Away28 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −2.38 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Home30 Jun 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.78 |
| M9 | Corinthians · Away4 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.97 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Home8 Jul 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −5.30 |
| M11 | Gremio · Away10 Jul 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −5.46 |
| M12 | Juventude · Home19 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −4.39 |
| M13 | Athletico-PR · Away25 Jul 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.63 |
| M14 | Cuiaba · Home1 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | −6.57 |
| M15 | Flamengo RJ · Away8 Aug 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.37 | −4.19 |
| M16 | Fluminense · Home16 Aug 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.24 | −2.95 |
| M17 | Santos · Away22 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −3.51 |
| M18 | Atletico GO · Away29 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −4.17 |
| M19 | Sport Recife · Away14 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −2.78 |
| M20 | Fortaleza · Home19 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −1.47 |
| M21 | Bahia · Home26 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.36 |
| M22 | Atletico-MG · Away3 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −1.08 |
| M23 | Ceara · Away6 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.27 |
| M24 | Chapecoense-SC · Home10 Oct 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.78 | −0.50 |
| M25 | America MG · Home14 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.76 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Away17 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.10 |
| M27 | Bragantino · Home22 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −0.90 |
| M28 | Corinthians · Home24 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.53 |
| M29 | Sao Paulo · Away31 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.38 |
| M30 | Gremio · Home6 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.93 |
| M31 | Juventude · Away11 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.19 |
| M32 | Athletico-PR · Home13 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.82 |
| M33 | Cuiaba · Away17 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.09 |
| M34 | Flamengo RJ · Home21 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.11 |
| M35 | Fluminense · Away25 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.30 |
| M36 | Santos · Home28 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −5.35 |
| M37 | Atletico GO · Home6 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.06 | −7.42 |
| M38 | Bragantino · Away10 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −8.39 |
| Total | 48 | −8.39 | |||