Points
46Points expected by the market
40.42Gap
+5.58Yield
−5.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 28 | +6.71 | +33.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 18 | −1.13 | −30.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 25 | +6.43 | +35.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.58 | +94.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.28 | +15.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 10 | −3.71 | −73.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cuiaba · Away29 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.11 |
| M2 | Athletico-PR · Home6 Jun 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.43 |
| M3 | Santos · Away12 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | −1.19 |
| M4 | Palmeiras · Home17 Jun 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −2.03 |
| M5 | Sport Recife · Home21 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −0.52 |
| M6 | America MG · Away24 Jun 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.35 |
| M7 | Flamengo RJ · Home27 Jun 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.38 | +2.03 |
| M8 | Gremio · Home1 Jul 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +4.10 |
| M9 | Ceara · Away4 Jul 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +3.19 |
| M10 | Bahia · Away7 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.36 |
| M11 | Atletico GO · Home11 Jul 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +1.92 |
| M12 | Internacional · Away19 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.12 |
| M13 | Chapecoense-SC · Home26 Jul 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.52 |
| M14 | Atletico-MG · Home8 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +1.51 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +3.59 |
| M16 | Fortaleza · Home22 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +3.52 |
| M17 | Sao Paulo · Home29 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +3.56 |
| M18 | Fluminense · Away2 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +3.68 |
| M19 | Corinthians · Away8 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | +3.98 |
| M20 | Cuiaba · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.47 |
| M21 | Athletico-PR · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.45 |
| M22 | Santos · Home26 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.16 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Away3 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | +3.60 |
| M24 | Sport Recife · Away6 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +2.41 |
| M25 | America MG · Home10 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.14 |
| M26 | Flamengo RJ · Away13 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | +1.63 |
| M27 | Gremio · Away17 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.83 |
| M28 | Ceara · Home23 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.47 |
| M29 | Bahia · Home30 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.01 |
| M30 | Internacional · Home11 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.59 |
| M31 | Chapecoense-SC · Away14 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.05 |
| M32 | Fluminense · Home17 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +4.69 |
| M33 | Atletico-MG · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.48 | +4.21 |
| M34 | Atletico GO · Away23 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +4.17 |
| M35 | Bragantino · Home30 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +5.69 |
| M36 | Fortaleza · Away4 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +4.88 |
| M37 | Sao Paulo · Away6 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.73 | +4.15 |
| M38 | Corinthians · Home10 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +5.58 |
| Total | 46 | +5.58 | |||