Points
50Points expected by the market
47.36Gap
+2.64Yield
−8.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.72 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.83 | −32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 26 | +3.59 | +11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | +0.16 | −25.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.72 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −3.20 | −60.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 24 | +8.98 | +72.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.75 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.38 | +112.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 2 | −5.39 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 12 | +1.91 | −13.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bahia · Away30 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.21 |
| M2 | Ceara · Home6 Jun 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.06 |
| M3 | Juventude · Home12 Jun 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | −0.92 |
| M4 | Fluminense · Away17 Jun 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.95 |
| M5 | Sao Paulo · Home20 Jun 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.18 |
| M6 | Gremio · Away25 Jun 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.18 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Home28 Jun 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.53 |
| M8 | Sport Recife · Home1 Jul 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | +0.57 |
| M9 | America MG · Away3 Jul 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.55 |
| M10 | Athletico-PR · Home6 Jul 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.07 |
| M11 | Palmeiras · Away10 Jul 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.39 |
| M12 | Bragantino · Away19 Jul 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.45 |
| M13 | Atletico GO · Home25 Jul 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.85 | −1.40 |
| M14 | Chapecoense-SC · Away1 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.03 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Home8 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.41 |
| M16 | Fortaleza · Away15 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.30 |
| M17 | Internacional · Home22 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.44 |
| M18 | Flamengo RJ · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.14 |
| M19 | Cuiaba · Away5 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.42 |
| M20 | Bahia · Home12 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.95 |
| M21 | Ceara · Away19 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.10 |
| M22 | Juventude · Away26 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.48 |
| M23 | Sao Paulo · Away7 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −4.29 |
| M24 | Gremio · Home10 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.66 |
| M25 | Atletico-MG · Away13 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −3.26 |
| M26 | Sport Recife · Away18 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −3.51 |
| M27 | America MG · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.01 |
| M28 | Fluminense · Home27 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −3.44 |
| M29 | Athletico-PR · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | −1.32 |
| M30 | Palmeiras · Home7 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.37 |
| M31 | Bragantino · Home10 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.79 |
| M32 | Atletico GO · Away13 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.84 |
| M33 | Chapecoense-SC · Home17 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −0.13 |
| M34 | Corinthians · Away21 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.92 |
| M35 | Fortaleza · Home25 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.73 |
| M36 | Internacional · Away28 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | +1.02 |
| M37 | Flamengo RJ · Away6 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +3.32 |
| M38 | Cuiaba · Home10 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +2.64 |
| Total | 50 | +2.64 | |||