Points
37Points expected by the market
50.76Gap
−13.76Yield
−42.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 15 | −8.33 | −56.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 8 | −7.02 | −73.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.89 | −3.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 15 | −6.60 | −52.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.00 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.73 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.02 | −60.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +1.98 | +16.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palmeiras · Away10 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.43 | +2.43 |
| M2 | Botafogo RJ · Home17 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.54 |
| M3 | Bragantino · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.14 |
| M4 | Athletico-PR · Away8 May 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.22 |
| M5 | Flamengo RJ · Home14 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −2.23 |
| M6 | Santos · Away21 May 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.39 |
| M7 | Sao Paulo · Away28 May 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.19 | −2.20 |
| M8 | Fortaleza · Away2 Jun 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −0.41 |
| M9 | Coritiba · Home4 Jun 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −1.44 |
| M10 | America MG · Away8 Jun 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.47 |
| M11 | Goias · Away12 Jun 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.11 |
| M12 | Atletico-MG · Home15 Jun 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.01 |
| M13 | Cuiaba · Away18 Jun 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.33 |
| M14 | Atletico GO · Home26 Jun 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.05 |
| M15 | Internacional · Home2 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.69 |
| M16 | Fluminense · Away9 Jul 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.50 |
| M17 | Corinthians · Home17 Jul 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −1.33 |
| M18 | Avai · Home20 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.69 | −0.64 |
| M19 | Juventude · Away24 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −2.12 |
| M20 | Palmeiras · Home30 Jul 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.20 |
| M21 | Botafogo RJ · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.38 |
| M22 | Fortaleza · Home14 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.71 |
| M23 | Bragantino · Away21 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −4.61 |
| M24 | Athletico-PR · Home28 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.87 | −5.48 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Away4 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.49 | −4.99 |
| M26 | Santos · Home10 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.63 |
| M27 | Sao Paulo · Home18 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.03 |
| M28 | Coritiba · Away28 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −6.16 |
| M29 | America MG · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −7.86 |
| M30 | Goias · Home5 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | −8.82 |
| M31 | Atletico-MG · Away9 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.42 | −8.40 |
| M32 | Cuiaba · Home16 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −9.11 |
| M33 | Atletico GO · Away23 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −10.27 |
| M34 | Internacional · Away27 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −11.03 |
| M35 | Fluminense · Home31 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −12.18 |
| M36 | Corinthians · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −13.09 |
| M37 | Avai · Away9 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −14.82 |
| M38 | Juventude · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −13.76 |
| Total | 37 | −13.76 | |||