Points
42Points expected by the market
41.63Gap
+0.37Yield
−23.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.43 | +62.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 23 | +5.13 | +34.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 6 | −9.18 | −82.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.43 | +62.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +5.83 | +45.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.28 | −12.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.70 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 2 | −9.46 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Goias · Home10 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.19 |
| M2 | Santos · Away17 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.20 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Away24 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.84 |
| M4 | Fluminense · Home1 May 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.38 |
| M5 | Avai · Away10 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.21 |
| M6 | America MG · Home15 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.60 |
| M7 | Atletico GO · Away21 May 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.52 |
| M8 | Botafogo RJ · Home29 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.17 |
| M9 | Ceara · Away4 Jun 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +3.45 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Home10 Jun 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +3.27 |
| M11 | Palmeiras · Home12 Jun 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +2.45 |
| M12 | Bragantino · Away15 Jun 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +1.79 |
| M13 | Athletico-PR · Home19 Jun 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.38 |
| M14 | Internacional · Away25 Jun 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.49 |
| M15 | Fortaleza · Home3 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.03 |
| M16 | Juventude · Home10 Jul 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +0.25 |
| M17 | Flamengo RJ · Away16 Jul 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −0.41 |
| M18 | Corinthians · Away21 Jul 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.18 |
| M19 | Cuiaba · Home26 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.18 |
| M20 | Goias · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.06 |
| M21 | Santos · Home9 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −2.45 |
| M22 | Atletico-MG · Home14 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.27 |
| M23 | Fluminense · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.53 | −3.80 |
| M24 | Avai · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −2.54 |
| M25 | America MG · Away4 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.32 |
| M26 | Atletico GO · Home11 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.90 |
| M27 | Botafogo RJ · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.59 |
| M28 | Ceara · Home28 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.16 |
| M29 | Palmeiras · Away6 Oct 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.39 | −1.55 |
| M30 | Bragantino · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.02 |
| M31 | Athletico-PR · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.78 |
| M32 | Sao Paulo · Away21 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −1.33 |
| M33 | Internacional · Home23 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −1.32 |
| M34 | Fortaleza · Away27 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −1.93 |
| M35 | Juventude · Away2 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.22 |
| M36 | Flamengo RJ · Home6 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.68 |
| M37 | Corinthians · Home9 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.36 |
| M38 | Cuiaba · Away13 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.37 |
| Total | 42 | +0.37 | |||