Points
70Points expected by the market
58.66Gap
+11.34Yield
+28.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.18 | +35.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 32 | +4.10 | +20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | +0.36 | −1.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.69 | +115.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.18 | +35.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 26 | +1.62 | +9.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.24 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.94 | +83.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.48 | +91.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +0.60 | +5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.76 | +131.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santos · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Cuiaba · Away17 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.73 |
| M3 | Internacional · Home23 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.82 | −1.10 |
| M4 | Coritiba · Away1 May 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.32 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Away8 May 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | −1.94 |
| M6 | Athletico-PR · Home15 May 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.62 |
| M7 | Fortaleza · Away22 May 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.36 |
| M8 | Flamengo RJ · Home29 May 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.39 |
| M9 | Juventude · Away5 Jun 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.91 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Home9 Jun 2022 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.00 |
| M11 | Atletico GO · Home11 Jun 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −0.79 |
| M12 | America MG · Away16 Jun 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.95 |
| M13 | Avai · Home19 Jun 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.08 |
| M14 | Botafogo RJ · Away26 Jun 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.64 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Home2 Jul 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.62 |
| M16 | Ceara · Home9 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +3.70 |
| M17 | Sao Paulo · Away17 Jul 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +3.45 |
| M18 | Goias · Away20 Jul 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.66 |
| M19 | Bragantino · Home24 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.90 |
| M20 | Santos · Away2 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.45 |
| M21 | Cuiaba · Home7 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +6.32 |
| M22 | Internacional · Away14 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +5.11 |
| M23 | Coritiba · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.73 | +5.84 |
| M24 | Palmeiras · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +5.60 |
| M25 | Athletico-PR · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +4.08 |
| M26 | Fortaleza · Home10 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.15 |
| M27 | Flamengo RJ · Away18 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | +7.36 |
| M28 | Juventude · Home28 Sep 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +8.07 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +7.24 |
| M30 | Atletico GO · Away5 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +5.73 |
| M31 | America MG · Home9 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.99 | +3.74 |
| M32 | Avai · Away16 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +5.02 |
| M33 | Botafogo RJ · Home23 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | +4.22 |
| M34 | Corinthians · Away27 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +6.10 |
| M35 | Ceara · Away31 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.55 |
| M36 | Sao Paulo · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +8.89 |
| M37 | Goias · Home9 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +9.63 |
| M38 | Bragantino · Away13 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +11.34 |
| Total | 70 | +11.34 | |||