Points
24Points expected by the market
41.33Gap
−17.33Yield
−62.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 3 | −5.82 | −56.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −5.90 | −30.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 11 | −5.61 | −82.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 3 | −5.82 | −56.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.61 | −17.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.41 | −6.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.29 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 7 | −6.02 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fluminense · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.43 |
| M2 | Sao Paulo · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.37 |
| M3 | Santos · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.55 |
| M4 | Cuiaba · Home7 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −5.44 |
| M5 | Bragantino · Away10 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −5.35 |
| M6 | Cruzeiro · Home14 May 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.77 |
| M7 | Fortaleza · Home20 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −5.04 |
| M8 | Botafogo RJ · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.93 |
| M9 | Corinthians · Home3 Jun 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −4.25 |
| M10 | Athletico-PR · Home11 Jun 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −4.67 |
| M11 | Gremio · Away22 Jun 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.47 |
| M12 | Internacional · Home25 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −7.18 |
| M13 | Atletico-MG · Away2 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.36 | −6.82 |
| M14 | Coritiba · Away8 Jul 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −7.93 |
| M15 | Flamengo RJ · Away22 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −7.42 |
| M16 | Palmeiras · Home30 Jul 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −8.52 |
| M17 | Bahia · Away6 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −9.50 |
| M18 | Goias · Home13 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −11.21 |
| M19 | Fluminense · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −11.83 |
| M20 | Sao Paulo · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −10.21 |
| M21 | Santos · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −8.82 |
| M22 | Cuiaba · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | −8.74 |
| M23 | Bragantino · Home20 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −9.99 |
| M24 | Vasco · Home26 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −11.30 |
| M25 | Cruzeiro · Away1 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −11.12 |
| M26 | Fortaleza · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −11.80 |
| M27 | Botafogo RJ · Home19 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −13.10 |
| M28 | Corinthians · Away22 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −13.12 |
| M29 | Athletico-PR · Away25 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −13.84 |
| M30 | Gremio · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.53 | −15.36 |
| M31 | Internacional · Away1 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −15.10 |
| M32 | Atletico-MG · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −15.01 |
| M33 | Coritiba · Home8 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.89 | −16.90 |
| M34 | Vasco · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −17.53 |
| M35 | Flamengo RJ · Home26 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −18.10 |
| M36 | Palmeiras · Away30 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.34 | −18.44 |
| M37 | Bahia · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.98 | −16.46 |
| M38 | Goias · Away6 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −17.33 |
| Total | 24 | −17.33 | |||